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This may be far fetched but in 1980 so was the peaceful re-unification of Germany and the relatively peaceful breakup of the USSR
1 Chinese Business owners protest about political interference stifling business 2 Protests escalate into widespread demonstrations 3 Peoples army refuse to use force to crush what is now a revolt and refuse to shut down web 4 Protestors call for elections, communist leaders go into exile 5 First democratic government abolishes the one child policy