Decolonization of Right Wing France in a CP victory scenario

In the same vein as my Nationalist China in a CP victory scenario, which tl;dr has Paris fall in early 1918 due to a lack of direct US involvement, leading to a limited negotiated peace in the west that still costs France the Briey and Belfort mines. A failed uprising by leftist elements is crushed by the Army who establishes a military dictatorship under the nominal rule of a restored Bourbon monarchy.

The loss of Morocco, Gabon, Chad, Congo and their treaty port of Zhanjiang are their only colonial losses ittl since the Germans are forced to negotiate with Great Britain. With their remaining colonies, how profitable (if at all) will French colonialism be and how would the rate of decolonization be different from otl in Africa and Indochina?

Correct.



The terms are the result of negotiations between the Germans and British in the summer and fall of 1918. Brest-Litovsk is still in place, and the main points are:

*Belgium is returned to pre-war borders in exchange for British withdrawal from the Ottoman Empire (justification: Britain doesn't want channel ports under the control of Germany), and its neutrality is reaffirmed. In addition, the Congo remains under their control.

*French Channel Ports are to remain French, in exchange for an evacuation of Germany's African colonies except for SW Africa (which stays with the SAF).

*Germany is allowed to take limited gains from France in Africa (Moroccan protectorate, Gabon, French Congo, CAR, and southern Chad), and territory in France based on this map:
waraimsinwesterneurope5sw-png.90785


In eastern Europe, Germany has puppet regimes in the Baltic, Lithuania, Poland, and Ukraine. Finland is independent under German protection. Belarus is part of the USSR.



I agree; I doubt Britain would allow themselves to be forced into a war with the United States over Japan; that being said everything up until that point gets interesting.



France is a bankrupt military dictatorship with a Bourbon puppet king; I see the loss of Indochina being a large possibility ittl sooner rather than later.


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See above


Somewhat cool. The Americans demanded the war loans be repaid at a quicker pace then otl which has cost the British Empire a lot of money, although they aren't outright hostile.


Germany is a constitutional monarchy with considerable power in the executive, although the SDP has a lot of influence. France is angry, but broke. Fascism is still in place in Italy. Austria Hungary is in the process of federalizing to solve its ethnic tensions. Ottoman Empire is starting to make a lot of money on the oil fields with German help. USSR is still in power, although they lack Ukraine and the southern Caucasus (Georgia is a German protectorate, Azerbaijan is a Turkish one, and Armenia is part of the OE). The Netherlands is firmly in the German economic sphere (the demand for Dutch rubber is high since ittl Germany's auto industry is much larger). Britain is more or less isolated diplomatically save for Italy.



More or less otl, although more of China is under Nanjiang's direct control.
 
France might be able to keep bigger colonial empire as in OTL. Perhaps Algeria, Djibouti, some islands around Madagascar and same areas what it has in OTL currently.
 
For one, I think Algeria successfully becomes a settler colony.

Interesting. Since in this scenario France essentially sits out of ttl's ww2, are you saying that the lack of population shock combined with more inward facing imperialism lead to more widespread colonization of Algeria?

France might be able to keep bigger colonial empire as in OTL. Perhaps Algeria, Djibouti, some islands around Madagascar and same areas what it has in OTL currently.

So, a smaller colonial empire would be cheaper to maintain ittl?
 
So, a smaller colonial empire would be cheaper to maintain ittl?

I don't know if it is cheaper but much easier. In OTL France lost several these coloneis,1 which it could keep ITTL, on 1960's or later. And there probably wouldn't be WW2 which fasten decolonisation.
 
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