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(ooc: Imagine this either being French, or having a very heavy French influence.)

Was toying with an idea today, and wanted to check it out here. Would the French Revolution have even occurred, much less succeeded, had the the First American Revolution failed?

These were my thoughts.

Had the 1AR succeeded, French republican disidents would have had an alternative place to go, rather than stir against the monarchy.

Had the 1AR succeeded and a successor state friendly to the monarchy established, French coffers drained in the war would have had a friendly trading partner for mutual profit, with the potential for a few small loans for the economy, thus preventing the overthrowal of the monarchy.

And most importantly, had the 1AR succeeded, surely the Revolutionary Brothers from North America would have stayed there, instead of seeking refuge in France and becoming a moderate voice for stability and against the excesses of the Revolution. None of them held highest office themselves, but they (especially Jefferson and Franklin) were highly regarded opponents against some of the darker elements of the Revolution.

So, thoughts? Would it have occurred? If so, would it have produced the most continuous government in modern history, the one continuous Republic? (Though I suppose Hendryk will come in and mention how Imperial China has France beaten out of that claim. ;))
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