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Hi all,

As everyone in the UK knows, on February 7th 1991, the IRA successfully launched a mortar shell at 10 Downing Street, killing the Prime Minister of the time, John Major.

Now I know this has been discussed on here many times, but I haven’t seen it recently and the topic interests me, as it’s the first politically related event I really remember hearing about, as a child of 5 at the time.

Let’s say that the attack is either averted or at the very least is a lot less “successful”-(eg no deaths/injuries as a result). So what happens in the immediate/short-term future? Obviously there’s no reason ITTL for the (all be it fairly limited) crackdowns we saw in the immediate aftermath, which in itself changes a lot. What’s John Major’s remaining time in office like? As he was only PM for a couple of months IOTL I do wonder what he’d have done given more time. Does this have any effect on what’s happening in Iraq?

When exactly is the next election? And who wins it?

Long-term, what effects does no Downing Street Bombing have on the IRA, the UK and the world at large?

OOC-I’ve tried to leave it as vague as possible, basically Major dies, though he’s probably not the only death/casualty-I’ll leave that to be determined by others however.
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