DBWI: The Schlieffen Plan Fails

What if general Schlieffen's plan to take Paris through the Ardennes failed when it was put to the test in the Serbian War? Perhaps they arent able to get enough supplies through the rugged terrain, or the French caught onto the surprise attack before the battle of the Marne?
 
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One critical factor, I feel, was the lack of involvement from the British Empire, which was unable to act due to fears of mass strikes.
 
Well, it was extremely good timing for the German small around; the assassination of FF happened just as the Russians and Chinese were really starting to have themselves a brawl in Outer Manchuria. Nicholas II, incompetent fool that he was, decided that fighting Guanxu wasn't enough and decided to add Wilhelm and Franz Joseph to the mix. The French, of course, were unprepared for the German onslaught. What you need to do is remove Russia's eastern distraction in the form of the modernized Qing China. Then, they might have been able to threaten Germany's eastern frontier, and thereby stop the Schlieffen Plan.
 
Russia... yeah. If Russia was going to insist on turning a Serbian-Austrian dispute into a general war in pursuit of her own Balkan interests, she should've stayed undistracted in the East.


Meanwhile, the French essentially defeated themselves. After Victor Michel's agitation, the French became convinced that the Germans would swing through north of the Meuse. They weighted their far-left wing heavily, and grouped it around Lille. Then, when word came through of German violation of Belgian territory, bang!, off into the wild blue. Marching deep into Belgium (and finding no Germans to fight), they were beyond timely recall while the decisive battle was fought far to their right rear.

Perhaps if the reserves had been comprehensively integrated with the front line active armies -- Michel's other proposal -- the forces around Sedan would've possessed high enough quality to delay the Germans longer. With a little more time, the French armies in Belgium would've been able to fight through the German flank guard. They very nearly did anyway, despite the delay and confusion of reorienting from the Antwerp-Hasselt-Liege line to Liege-Marche-Givet.

As it was, one can only pity the mostly-reservist formations that found themselves in the path of the German offensive. They can hardly be blamed for breaking.
 
One critical factor, I feel, was the lack of involvement from the British Empire, which was unable to act due to fears of mass strikes.

Russia... yeah. If Russia was going to insist on turning a Serbian-Austrian dispute into a general war in pursuit of her own Balkan interests, she should've stayed undistracted in the East.


Meanwhile, the French essentially defeated themselves. After Victor Michel's agitation, the French became convinced that the Germans would swing through north of the Meuse. They weighted their far-left wing heavily, and grouped it around Lille. Then, when word came through of German violation of Belgian territory, bang!, off into the wild blue. Marching deep into Belgium (and finding no Germans to fight), they were beyond timely recall while the decisive battle was fought far to their right rear.

Perhaps if the reserves had been comprehensively integrated with the front line active armies -- Michel's other proposal -- the forces around Sedan would've possessed high enough quality to delay the Germans longer. With a little more time, the French armies in Belgium would've been able to fight through the German flank guard. They very nearly did anyway, despite the delay and confusion of reorienting from the Antwerp-Hasselt-Liege line to Liege-Marche-Givet.

As it was, one can only pity the mostly-reservist formations that found themselves in the path of the German offensive. They can hardly be blamed for breaking.

Indeed, maybe Britain would have helped France they didnt 'violate' Belgian territory just like German did. Saying 'But the Krauts did it first!' didnt really help the French.
 
Opunium,

Maybe going through only the Ardennes failed to constitute a "substantial"-enough violation, since it didn't threaten the Channel ports; France's response, though, was much more substantial.
 
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