DBWI: The Grand Coalition against Muscovy never materializes

As we all know, in 1449, Novgorod, the Golden Horde, Lithuania, and Tver formed the Grand Coalition to combat Muscovy, which had become a serious threat to all of them. The resulting War of the Grand Coalition (or the First Eastern War as some historians call it) was long and bloody but eventually saw Moscow burned to the ground and its accompyaning state partitioned.

But what if the coalition had never formed? What if there had been no power to colonize the Arctic in the middle ages but it had instead occurred much later? What if Muscovy's expansionism had prevailed and the East Slavs became one state? What if the Golden Horde's succssor states had been absorbed by Muscovy? What if...

EDIT: Oops, sorry, this should be in Before 1900.
 
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