DBWI: Revolts in Saint-Domingue Successful?

So as is well known, there were multiple low level revolts of both slaves and free blacks in Saint-Domingue during the 1790's, running concurrently with the turmoil happening on the European continent. I've heard a lot from people, especially on this site, say that these revolts could have lead to something more. Is it possible they could take the whole of the colony?
 
Well, they had the numbers. All they really had to do was not do the idiotic thing of rushing the forts the European slave masters fled to the moment the revolvers had their weapons. They outnumbered the whites 7 to 1. With a POD in the 1760s, you can make it 30 to 1, still not enough to storm a fort in the front, but all they have to do is avoid that idociy.
 
Well, they had the numbers. All they really had to do was not do the idiotic thing of rushing the forts the European slave masters fled to the moment the revolvers had their weapons. They outnumbered the whites 7 to 1. With a POD in the 1760s, you can make it 30 to 1, still not enough to storm a fort in the front, but all they have to do is avoid that idociy.

True, mistakes were certainly made. After the revolts, the French realized how outnumbered they were, which lead to a, lets say, "population shift" in the colony.

I wonder if this kills the French projects in the Western hemisphere like Louisiane and Guiana.
 
True, mistakes were certainly made. After the revolts, the French realized how outnumbered they were, which lead to a, lets say, "population shift" in the colony.

I wonder if this kills the French projects in the Western hemisphere like Louisiane and Guiana.

Louisiana is only viable as an extension of Saint-Domingue. Everything but New Orleans was a money pit by the 1740s, but had long term potential as long as the sugar ports are open. As for the revolters trying to take the forts by storm, usually a full frontal assault against a well prepared fortification doesn't work without artillery, even if the attackers are professional military and have ammunition to spare.
 
I have to say any success is wishful thinking. No slave revolt in history was ever successful in the long run. They have always been put down by the authorities. Why should Saint-Dominque be any different?
 
As I said, a POD in the 1760s could make the white population lower and it would be 30 to 1. Sure, no slave revolt ever succeeded, but none was ever tried with more than a 25 to 1 number advantage. In this case, I think 30 to 1 works, as long as we butterfly away OTL slave tactical stupidity of storming the forts "Our masters are in that building. Everyone, rush in and kill them!"
 
I have to say any success is wishful thinking. No slave revolt in history was ever successful in the long run. They have always been put down by the authorities. Why should Saint-Dominque be any different?

The Slave revolts in Brazil and the Great Slave Revolt of 1827 in the US both did quite some damage, the latter even causing difficulties in Louisiane with refugees and such. In both of those revolts, the slave population was at a far smaller ratio to the areas population than the ratio of population in Saint-Domingue.

The revolters in Saint-Domingue winning may be far fetched, but it certainly isn't impossible
 
So as is well known, there were multiple low level revolts of both slaves and free blacks in Saint-Domingue during the 1790's, running concurrently with the turmoil happening on the European continent. I've heard a lot from people, especially on this site, say that these revolts could have lead to something more. Is it possible they could take the whole of the colony?
They had the numbers, and had they secured the support of the Spanish and British they very likely could have succeeded. Then what? Every revolutionary country in the Americas is a failed state. Given the colony's resources, maybe the resulting country would usurp the USA as the country which most regrets its own independence.
 
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