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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Irish_Home_Rule_Bill

Would Ireland still be a part of the UK today if Gladstone had not pushed throught the Government of Ireland bill in 1886? How would the situation developed had Ireland remained without any form of devolution? Would trouble have developed?

Also, how would Parnell have reacted had he not achieved his position as the first Premier of the Irish Assembly, a position as we all know he held for a decade. I have a horrible feeling a civil war may have developed. What does everyone think? Would the current UK Prime Minister Bertie Ahern still be in office as Irish PM if Ireland did go independent?
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