DBWI: July Days doesn't shatter Bolsheviks?

Before the July Days the Bolsheviks were a rising power in Russia and were making moves to unseat the Provisional Government. However, after putting down the (often violent) demonstrations it was pinned on the Bolsheviks and its leaders were arrested and (as recently been revealed) secretly executed. However, lets say not all are arrested, some escape into exile while the ones who are arrested survive their prison sentences? How does this change Antebellum Russian politics? Could the Bolsheviks really rise to take over Russia? Would the military really allow that? If they did take over Russia, wouldn't that just lead to a Civil War?
 
Before the July Days the Bolsheviks were a rising power in Russia and were making moves to unseat the Provisional Government. However, after putting down the (often violent) demonstrations it was pinned on the Bolsheviks and its leaders were arrested and (as recently been revealed) secretly executed. However, lets say not all are arrested, some escape into exile while the ones who are arrested survive their prison sentences? How does this change Antebellum Russian politics? Could the Bolsheviks really rise to take over Russia? Would the military really allow that? If they did take over Russia, wouldn't that just lead to a Civil War?

Probably a civil war, Kerensky was really undecided and the capture of Lenin and Trosky and their following execution were due to the local commander initiative; without the leadership the most militant and extremist of the left group was basically dead and many other though that for the time being a more 'peacefull' approach will be more productive; strenghtening in such manner the Provisional goverment authority in a crititical time as the Kerensky offensive was more or less launched at the same time, without the quick ending of the trouble and the elimination of the major opposition the entire military operation will have devolved in a disaster and not the (very) limited success that kept Russia and Romania in the war
 
So, how would the post-war treaties be affected by Russia being out of the war? I would say they'd be more lenient on Germany, for starters with an independent Kingdom of Bavaria being spun off in said treaties.
 
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