I remember that, a lot of people on the board don't really like her due to he reversing Layton's reforms but her party is still heading for re-election from what I've seen, is that true on your end? Anyway, Manning seems to do average in terms of the liking polls, it's only the massive NDP hate for him that pushes him down and the massive lovefest he gets from the right. Anyway, maybe I'm biased because of how she gets along with Howard.
Yes they are. They'll probably get another majority, in spite of a weak economy (like everywhere else ours went into the shitter in '07 and hasn't really recovered) and the fact that a large minority of the electorate despises them. This has about as much to do with the opposition being fractured as it does with the Alliance's successes.
Manning's record looks a lot better with the benefit of hindsight than it did while he was PM. After all, while he was in power times were good, unemployment was low (<10%), and we didn't have soldiers dying in places that nobody could name. OTOH guess who got us sucked into Afghanistan*, Lebanon and the Sudan? While refusing to adequately fund the military? And on whose watch was it that the economy tanked in 2007?
*Probably inevitable following the Labour Day attack on the WTC in 2004. Once they got there, the Army would have had an easier go of it and would have taken fewer casualties had they been let off of the leash. 'Peacekeeping' is impossible when there is no peace to keep. Afghanistan was a war and the Army should have been allowed to fight it.
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Now, as to the OP, 1993 was the year that all of Mulroney's chickens came home to roost. Campbell probably wouldn't have done any worse, as the Tories were going down. OTOH I doubt that she would have done any better. Being someone not from Quebec would have helped her in the West and the Maritimes, but would have been offset by extra losses to the BQ in Quebec. The Tories still wind up with 30-40 seats while Reform gets 45-50 instead of 55 and the BQ gets 40-45 instead of 35. The NDP still gets smashed, they were lucky to survive 1993 at all. (I'd say that in an ATL of the '93 election, an electoral wipeout for the NDP is a very real possibility, and not just an ideological fantasy. The NDP not recovering in '97 and/or '99 however is the ideological fantasy, as is their getting anything above about 35 seats before 2004.) They'd probably still be anywhere between 5-10, with the OTL 7 being most likely.
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OOC: I hate being ninja'd. In my first post, I moved things to 2009-12, implied that politics in Canada aren't black and white like some people think that they are, and implied (and here I've outright stated) that the economic crash of the late 2000's was probably inevitable as early as the mid '90s due to events that occurred outside of Canada. And guess who gets blamed when things go terribly wrong with the economy? Oh, yeah, the economic boom of the late '90s/early 00s still happens, so that's remembered as the 'good times' and now someone doesn't look so bad anymore, eh?