Now, as we all know, in 1914, there was hilarious failure of an assassination attempt on then Archduke Franz Ferdinand. None of the would be assassins hit the man, and he was even able to see those injured by the bombs used against him in hospital. He went on to democratize the empire into the Federation Of The Danube, with a constitution that borderline plagiarized from that of the US, with Franz Ferdinand becoming the first Consul of All Nations.

But with the spread of republicanism to yet another great power, the turks saw more and more ethnic violence until all of arabia was free under the Arab Republic. Russia went through a terrible civil war that japan quickly capitalized on and stole all their pacific coast to Kamchatka, though this would be reversed in quick order by the American-Russian Alliance that dominates pacific politics to this day, save Britain. Frankly i'm surprised Germany held their monarchy through sheer nationalism, and were even able to decimate France (and Belgium) for squabbles in Mittleafrika.

But what if by some miraculous chance, the worst had come to the dear Archduke one faithful day in the balkans?
 
The Archduke's injuries shortened his life slightly, and he died on 4/30/1945 of an infected wound. The assassination actually succeeding would prevent him from saving the Federation of the Danube/Austria-Hungary, and would've eventually ended in disaster for Austria.
 
Well, a war would have probably prevented the Russian Empire's full industrialization, or at least delayed it. That would probably avert the Empire's status as the most powerful country on earth. After all, it was said that Japan woke a sleeping giant for a reason; while Japan was grabbing Kamchatka the Imperial Army was assembling, to be unleashed on the IJA.
 
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