DBWI: fractured Africa?

So, sub-Saharan Africa has managed to pull together the semi-miraculous, multi-lingual, if poor and rickety and corrupt democracy called The Bilad Confederation since colonialism ended. What if they crumbled into a mess of squabbling and desperate and wartorn states like much of the former British Raj today, with only a few states here and there doing relatively well in a sea of clusterfuck?
 
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