DBWI: Dole doesn't pick Powell

As we all know in 1996 Bob Dole picked Colin Powell as his running mate, causing a rift in the Republican Party between Pro-Lifers and Pro-Choicers and leading to a Clinton-Dole-Lamm-Buchanan election. However, what if Dole didn't pick Powell and instead picked a pro-life candidate such as Jack Kemp or Fred Thompson? Would Dole do worse or better? Would Lamm's campaign do better? Would the Republicans not have the Religious Right backlash that lead to Quayle's nomination and a Paul Tsongas victory in 2000?
 
As we all know in 1996 Bob Dole picked Colin Powell as his running mate, causing a rift in the Republican Party between Pro-Lifers and Pro-Choicers and leading to a Clinton-Dole-Lamm-Buchanan election. However, what if Dole didn't pick Powell and instead picked a pro-life candidate such as Jack Kemp or Fred Thompson? Would Dole do worse or better? Would Lamm's campaign do better? Would the Republicans not have the Religious Right backlash that lead to Quayle's nomination and a Paul Tsongas victory in 2000?

OOC: Tsongas died in January 1997. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Tsongas
 
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