DBWI: Arab Monotheistic Religion

During the 7th century, Nestorian Christianity became the dominant religion of the Arabian peninsula, replacing Arab paganism as the main religion of the Arab tribes, but what if the Arabs came up with their own religion? What could be good PODs for such a religion arising? Muhammad not converting to Nestorianism and instead founding his own religion based on his vision? Could Muhammad have still had his success in unifying Arabia if he had adopted a new religion? How would the Roman and Persian Empires have been affected by Muhammad's Arabia having a all-new religion instead of being Nestorian Christians?
 
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Well if the Arab tribes didn't have Christian ties I doubt the Romans would be willing to ally with them against the Persians. So the whole complexion of the Levant would be different especially if the Arab region drew them to ally with the Zoroastrians in Persia. As for Muhammad unifying the tribes I don't see why not. He was a skilled leader and a charismatic man, and it's not like the concept of a god coming down and telling someone to create a new religion was something new to people at the time. The bigger question is what is the basis for this new religion. If it's Christian or Zoroastrian in nature both those had major dogmatic ideals that were pretty highly protected by the leaders of their respective religions so they might not take kindly to someone coming along saying they have a whole new and better way to do things. If it's based in traditional pagan beliefs then it'd just be written off as just that and they'd be no more hostile than normal.
 
It seems unrealistic. St. Muhammad was only able to spread Christianity so effectively because of the fact that it had already set its roots in the Levant and the Horn of Africa. I can't imagine another religion would help him, especially given how it would put this alternate version of the Arabian Imperium at odds with both the Romans and the Persians.
 
If we're going by traditional accounts, we could just have the Prophet's uncle Waraqah ibn Nawfal not tell him that he was meant to spread the Word of Christ and maybe inform him that he was a prophet of an entirely new religion. St. Muhammad and his wife Khadijah really trusted Waraqah, if he had explained what had happened to him in Ghar Hira differently, I could see Muhammad being very different in the tone of his reforming message. How well this faith would catch on is anyone's guess, but it would be hard considering that Christianity had made inroads into the Makkan merchant society while a new religion would be seen as disruptive to the control of the wealthy trade lords. How long could a religion really last with the power of Arabia's preeminent city arrayed against it?
 
Maybe the religion of the three goddesses gains more influence than OTL ?

St. Muhammad was directly opposed to the goddess cult and the attending subordinate deities for reasons beyond monotheist/polytheist antagonism, though. The goddess cult alongside the worship of the Moabite god Hubal was firmly in the hands of the Makkan elites, who used it to sanction their social hierarchies (with themselves on top, naturally) and draw pilgrims to Makkah. St. Muhammad's message of a Christ-like community of poor believers was antithetical to that and even trying to reform the goddess cult would be tough considering that the weight of tradition would favor the priestly class of Makkah over him.
 
Realistically I don't think it would have made much difference. A new religion wouldn't have reached much beyond Arabia anyway. At most it might have spread into Mesopotamia and the Levant for a while, with the Byzantines and the Sassanids being mutually exhausted, but with their respective heartlands intact, they would have restored themselves and reconquered the Middle East pretty easily.
 
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