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My understanding is that a large part of today's attitudes towards Christmas and rituals therof are largely inventions of the mid-19th century. So let's say Dickens doesn't write about Christmas for whatever reason and as a result of butterflies Christmas trees are never popularized outside of parts of germany and some noble/royal circles. So might different traditions develop around the holiday instead? Does Christmas still become as significant a holiday as it is today, or does it become a regionally popular holiday at best? Would New Year's or another winter holiday become the main Winter Solstice celebration?