Cuba during the Spanish CW

Maybe this is ASB, but let's suppose Cuba remains part of the Spanish empire up to the time of the civil war. Do you think this ATL Cuba would end up? As a Republican enclave, akin to OTL Republic of China? Gain independence (I would expect many Republican refugees to flee here instead of Mexico)? If it remains n Nationalist hands, would an ATL communist rebellion arise and be led by a Castro like figure?
 

Germaniac

Donor
Not loosing the last vestiges of the Empire would be a drastic change in Spanish history. The loss of Cuba, Philippines, etc... caused a complete loss of credibility for the Spanish government. Without loosing Cuba its likely the monarchy does not fall.
 
Top