The Qin Dynasty, which was founded by Qin Shi Huang Di, could somehow sustain itself and be able to continue existing to this day?
Absolutely no.
thanks, I'm writing a story that has this as a premise and was looking for ways to explain howThe first thing would be to have the Qin drop their harsh legalist policies as soon as they get their empire in order. And I mean at once. Qin Shi Huangdi himself is going to have to reform his policies to make them less draconic. His failure to do so led to far too much opposition. So one generation later is already too late. If this can be achieved, a lot of reasons for OTL opposition to Qin rule will largely disappear. The Han dynasty never emerges, and the Qin empire continues. This is needed just to get to a place where "lasting Qin dynasty" is even possible.
Now, given that premise, how realistic is it for a an imperial dynasty originating in 221 BC to keep existing for 2238 years? Well, it's not the most likely course of events! But then again, considering that the imperial family of Japan has been there for at least the past 1500 years, a very long-existing dynasty cannot be ruled out as ASB. On the other hand, China is not Japan. The latter one had the advantage of relative isolation, whereas the former was far more 'in the thick of it' when it came to invasions etc. -- And also, China was a vast empire, and those are just very likely to break up from time to time. In fact, keeping China together without any periods of division seems much harder to me than 'simply' preserving a dynasty.
The trick would be to keep the inevitable periods of division more like the Spring and Autumn Period (or, perhaps more fittingly, like the Tokugawa era of Japan). That is: the ruling dynasty stays in charge formally, but has little to no actual power. The emperor is a chiefly ceremonial figure, and removing him would actually be detrimental to the legitimacy of whoever is really in charge at any given time. If you can achieve that situation, you can maintain an unbroken dynasty of emperors, even through periods of near-complete division.
obrigado, eu estou escrevendo uma história que tem isso como premissa e estava procurando por maneiras de explicar como
thanks, I'm writing a story that has this as a premise and was looking for ways to explain how
obrigado, eu estou escrevendo uma história que tem isso como premissa e estava procurando por maneiras de explicar como
Probably not. His immediate successor was incompetent - so incompetent that a minor rebellion ushered in the Han Dynasty.
Qin Shihuang's ministers forged his will which commanded his eldest son (whom he groomed as his successor) to commit suicide after his death. The second son was a complete imbecile who was so easily manipulated by his ministers that they made him call a deer, a horse.Well, IIRC Qin Shi Huang's originally chosen successor was killed in suspicious circumstances.
Qin Shihuang's ministers forged his will which commanded his eldest son (whom he groomed as his successor) to commit suicide after his death. The second son was a complete imbecile who was so easily manipulated by his ministers that they made him call a deer, a horse.
As for the OP's question, I'm surprised no one has mentioned Japan's Chrysanthemum Throne. It's long-lasting *because* for most of the time the Emperor was a powerless figurehead.
As feudal entities yes,but not as any centralized government.As soon as any power is strong enough,they will take out the emperor.The Zhou lasted 700-ish years, and the Shang before them for 600, so there's precedent for long-lived dynasties in China.
Actually,I think the Song Dynasty had the best chance of survival if not for the fact that they repressed the military.Out of all the dynasties,it was the only one that managed to find a way to avoid large scale peasant uprisings and was much wealthier than other dynasties.Honestly, it would be easier in my mind to see the Han Dynasty existing to the present day, since it lasted far longer than the Qin and didn't exactly go down quietly, even after it was technically overthrown.
I said ‘large scale’ peasant uprisings.Those two uprisings were never of any sizeable scale.And unlike the novel,they were easily suppressed by the fairly weak Song army.Song Jiang and his rebels were wiped out by the Song general Zhang Shuye.They never went on to resist foreign invaders or suppress rebel forces.I do agree with you that the Song had a better chance of survival. But I disagree with your statement that it managed to avoid peasant uprisings - there were two. The first was under Wang Ze, a Buddhist nutcase who thought himself the Maitreya - thousands died in its suppression. The second is the outlaws of Mount Liang (Liangshan Marsh) made famous by the legend of the "Water Margin" (108 stars/ Outlaws of the Marsh) it was a sizable army that caused chaos until it was granted amnesty by the government and sent on campaigns to resist foreign invaders and suppress rebel forces. However these two blips on the Song record was because the military had already began to decline.