Could Tecumseh's confederacy have survived?

That's actually more a sign it would work. Given provincial status it would slowly be absorbed by the more numerous Anglos, but all in all land would remain to the tribes who settled and became agriculturalists.
The Metis didn't retain their land in Manitoba very well. The situation is not exactly identical but I don't see anything working out well for them.
 
The Metis didn't retain their land in Manitoba very well. The situation is not exactly identical but I don't see anything working out well for them.

That's only post-rebellion. Up until then they were content enough, and the government was more than willing to work with them. In fact, if either side had been willing to hire additional surveyors the whole thing would have been avoided. Plus, the Canada of 1812 was far less vindictive towards the Indians than the government of the 1880s.
 
The development of Ontario's Manitoulin Island, initially a refuge for displaced indigenous populations but eventually opened up to Euro-Canadian settlement, comes to mind. The ed result here is an island with a high First Nations proportion--almost 40%.
 
Well DaV had a good idea in his timeline 'British Imperialism in the with Century"

Napoleonic Wars turned out rather differently with a stronger; though not dominating France and the UK was able to send Wellington to Canada to take command.

With a strategy with being friendly and appeasing the politicians and population New England when marching through and supporting Tecumsehs Confederation the War of 1812 ended with New England seceding and a Native State being established in Michigan(minus detroit) with bits of Illonis, Indiana and a good chunk of eastern Wisconsin. Though the Native state recieves a large population boost (and a centralized military)because of the US acting quicker and harsher to natives in US territory, which caused them to go join Tecumseh or settle in Canada.

So with that the US can't really touch Canada's population centres the UK is happy to support them both as buffer states.

Oh Lord, someone remembers that.
 
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