Could Nazi Germany defeat the soviet union alone?

Lend lease being of no importance to the USSR is the myth. Without the material resources alone ie rubber, steel,aviation fuel, explosives etc. the USSR losses at least a million men that were at the front making up for these deficiencies. Not to talk about the rail and locomotives. The USSR's transportation infrastructure would have been run into the ground without lend lease. So if Germany is fighting the USSR alone it would not matter how many people the USSR had because more than OTL would be making up for the industrial deficit no lend lease would have on their industrial out put. The Germans could win.
 
I think what most posters are overlooking is the fact that Nazi Germany alone is not what attacked the USSR in OTL. Not having the Western Allies in the fight means that Germany did not start the war against them. That means Germany does not have the industry and wealth of France, Denmark, Belgium and the Netherlands, the resources of Norway or the Balkans to draw on, because conquering any of those would have set off a war with Britain and France. Given, at the most, control of Czechoslovakia and Poland will simply not be enough to sustain the German war machine.
 
Germany still got the resources of Hungary, Romania, and Bulgaria in WWII even though it did not conquer any occupy them. Having Czechoslovakia and Poland without western intervention means the Balkans are in Germany's sphere of influence, and they are going to cooperate. Likewise, much of Scandinavia can be expected to cooperate with Germany to make sure they avoid provoking Hitler.

Losing the ability to pillage Western Europe of its wealth will cost the Germans something, but they also don't have any of the costs of occupation, the losses from fighting and defending it from Allied raids, and they can continue to purchase raw materials without a British blockade. Parts of the western European economy can still be utilized by Germany in terms of normal trade.

Germany might still be at a slight loss compared to what it could command IOTL, but probably not enough to make up for the huge gains it receives in not fighting a two front war.

Germany is unlikely to achieve the victory Hitler wants. The Soviet Union is not going to collapse. But he could very well achieve a negotiated peace that gives him substantial gains - the Baltics, Belarus, and Ukraine including the Donets basin. Depending on the details of how the scenario played out, those could be less or more. I can imagine several scenarios where Germany essentially gets nothing, to ones where they get the Kuban and more as being equally plausible. War is uncertain and there are lots of unanswered questions that people will have different answers for.
 
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