Could E2K have been this bad?

I voted for Gore too, but there is no doubt that Bush won. The idea that the USSC could not intervene in a national election on the interpretation of the law is just silly. Could a state supreme court change other aspects of voting in a national election, say, the voting age? Technically the states COULD have a separate voting age, they generally just don't bother with it. Imagine a congressional election in a state which let's 16 year olds vote ONLY FOR STATE OFFICES.

Imagine if the USSC had stayed out of it?

1) Florida SSC, all Dems, get the state certified for Gore by arrangng the recount.
2) One congressman from each party questions the certification results, forcing the House to act. That's all it takes, a challenge from ONE congressman from each party.
3) The House, voting by STATE DELEGATIONS(one vote per state), has 30 GOP majority delegations, Bush wins.
4) The Dems CAN appeal to the Senate. If the Senate, on January 3, picks Bush, it's over. If it picks GORE, based on Gore and Lieberman voting for themselves, the Constitution declares Congress split and allows ONE PERSON the final decision.
5) The governor of the state in question. Jeb Bush
6) Less than two weeks before inauguration, Dubya is chosen to be president by his brother.

Wonder how much screaming we would then hear about the USSC's gutless refusal to act in early December and the pain the nation went through?

As an aside, the early call for Gore was based on an inept polling group which the national media had adopted, throwing aside the AP and such for election 2000. In Florida this group had a total of 42 observers, for 67 counties. In 2002, the group messed up again. They're out of business now. If the AP can't regroup in time, there may be no consensus poll watchers for the media.

Another aside. Bob Bechel, staunch super-Dem and Mondale campaign manager in 1984 did declare that the early call cost the GOP 8000-9000 in the Florida Panhandle alone.

A third aside. For 20 years the Dems have claimed the calling of the election for Reagan after he carried the belt west of the Mississippi cost Jimmy Carter over a million votes. In 2000, the call was earlier and the election closer.

How about this for alternate history?

George Bush spent much of the last two weeks, cash and appearances, in California, a hopeless state for him which alarmed the wiser GOP who realized how close it was. Out of party loyalty, Bush went there.

1) Realizing he is in genuine danger in his brother's state, Dubya hits Florida hard, carries it by about 30,000 votes on election night, and is declared the winner. Changes?
2) NOT realizing the danger, he instead makes a more casual general effort, avoiding California. Bush carries New Mexico in 2000, giving him 5 more electoral votes before the Florida mess hits. Changes?
3) Bush hits the Midwest, changing the results by about one percent of the turnout. As a result he carries Wisconsin and Minnesota, missing Iowa by a few hundred votes, leaving him with 267 votes in the electoral college as the Florida fiasco begins. Changes?
 
Grimm: Outstanding insight into one of the true nodal points of the election, Bush's (actually Rove's, how this guy gets the rep as some evil genius is beyond me) ridiculous waste of resources in CA. Had that money (more importantly those volunteers) been active in some of the marginal states, even a tiny shift would have been enough.

Another interesting node to investigate too would be MO. What if the GOP had paid a bit more attention to that state, particularly to the shenanigans that the Dems pulled re: keeping the polls open later in several urban (=black) electoral districts. Given how close the Ashcroft-Carnahan vote was, shutting down the polls ON TIME (not early, but not late) certainly would have made the difference. This gives us Senator Ashcroft, not AG Ashcroft, and likely no Jeffords switch a few months later....
 
Scott, very interesting point regarding Ashcroft and his defeat in 2000. Personally I suspect he bowed out for a cabinet position, so we could see a GOP yielding gracefully while Gore was hammering away. Pretty sure some such fix was in.

As an added point let me just say this:
Iowa 7 electoral, decided by less than 8,000
Oregon 7 electoral, decided by less than 8,000
New Mexico 5 electoral, decided by less than 200
Washington 11 electoral, decided by less than 12,000
Minnesota 10 electoral, decided by less than 11,000
Wisconsin 11 electoral, decided by less than 12,000

All for Gore in 2000. Less than 52,000 votes the other way and Florida would not have mattered. Basis for more ideas?
 

Grey Wolf

Donor
Grimm Reaper said:
George Bush spent much of the last two weeks, cash and appearances, in California, a hopeless state for him which alarmed the wiser GOP who realized how close it was. Out of party loyalty, Bush went there.

1) Realizing he is in genuine danger in his brother's state, Dubya hits Florida hard, carries it by about 30,000 votes on election night, and is declared the winner. Changes?
2) NOT realizing the danger, he instead makes a more casual general effort, avoiding California. Bush carries New Mexico in 2000, giving him 5 more electoral votes before the Florida mess hits. Changes?
3) Bush hits the Midwest, changing the results by about one percent of the turnout. As a result he carries Wisconsin and Minnesota, missing Iowa by a few hundred votes, leaving him with 267 votes in the electoral college as the Florida fiasco begins. Changes?

Why do you take it as given that Bush's visiting these places will increase his vote there ? If I was undecided and saw Bush on campaign, I would be quite certain to make a definite decision to vote AGAINST him

Grey Wolf
 

Raymann

Banned
Whatever the outcome, unless we're from Florida it shouldn't be our decision how they voted. Each state has the right to decided how it wants to vote for President regardless of what other States think of as "fair". The legal case should have stopped at the Florida Supreme Court and gone no farther. The US Constitution says nothing about counting individual votes so they had no business hearing about it.

P.S. I was a Bush supporter :)
 
Grey Wolf said:
Why do you take it as given that Bush's visiting these places will increase his vote there ? If I was undecided and saw Bush on campaign, I would be quite certain to make a definite decision to vote AGAINST him

Grey Wolf
Its a general rule of thumb that campaigning in an area boosts your results there (motivating your supporters to vote). Besides, there are plenty of people who might feel differently than you.
 
Grey: I rather doubt that ANYTHING Bush could have done (except perhaps ritual suicide) would have pleased you. In point of fact, there is typically a strong positive correlation between a candidate's propensity to appear in a state, and his gain in votes from that state. More to the point however, I believe what was being referred to was comittment of resources (money, and ESPECIALLY volunteers, who were in short supply on both sides in the closing days of the campaign), which I believe that you would agree would be expected to have a positive impact on a candidate's standing.

Rayman: Your point is simply silly. This was a federal election, and as a result, it was absolutely within the province of the SCOUS. Even the liberal members of the court agreed upon that (remember, they voted 9-0 to take the case), and there is a mountain of case law to support their position. The idea that a state could determine how it would behave in a federal election with no federal check upon that choice is little more than nonsense...after all, what if a state decided to disenfranchise blacks/women/favored minority of the month/etc....
 
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