Could Communist Germany have defeated Fascist Russia?

Basically the hypothetical German victory over the USSR but with the ideologies reversed.
Is it possible for a Communist Germany to defeat a Fascist Russia, assuming it doesn't join the Allies? Perhaps a larger communist expansion before the war? Or they form an alliance to get rid of their other enemies, and Germany backstabs Russia first?

Extra points for a communist victory in the war in general. What would happen after that?
 
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Basically the hypothetical German victory over the USSR but with the ideologies reversed.
Is it possible for a Communist Germany to defeat a Fascist Russia, assuming it doesn't join the Allies? Perhaps a larger communist expansion before the war? Or they form an alliance to get rid of their other enemies, and Germany backstabs Russia first?

Extra points for a communist victory in the war in general. What would happen after that?
Western powers are generally more accepting of a Fascist power over a Communist one, so there would likely be no cooperation between the West and Germany. This has some big implications, especially since alot of German factories were from Czechoslovakia. Combined with the problems of Invading Russia in the first place means that it is unlikely to work.
 
So in this hypothetical scenario I'm gonna assume that Kolchak's White Army won the Russian Civil War but Rosa Luxemburg's Spartcus League actually succeeded at pulling a Paris Commune in Berlin which, when combined with the Bavarian socialist uprising, allowed communism to successfully take over the nation. In such a scenario, Germany would effectively be in a state of Cold War with most of the rest of Europe, where relations are tense because Communism is right on their doorstep and not across Europe behind a screen of nations. If the communists just refuse to pay any war reparations, things would get especially unfriendly between the WWI Allies and Germany.

Over in Russia, the Romanov royal family is restored to power by Admiral Kolchak who gets appointed Prime Minister of Russia by the Tsar over a rubber stamp State Duma, political parties that advocate for liberalism or socialism are banned from contesting election, communism is subjected to mass repression, Lenin, Stalin, Trotsky, etc. all pile up into cars and trek across Europe to seek political asylum in Communist Germany.

The big difference between Russia and Germany in the post-WWI period is that Germany was a highly industrialized nation while Russia was mostly agrarian. Without the rapid industrialization enacted by the Bolshevik Communist Party, Russia would be akin to a second, bigger Italy than Nazi Germany, especially if it still gets hit hard by the Great Depression in the late 20s, when it comes to warfare.

A straight war between a Communist Germany and Fascist Russia in such circumstances would most likely result in a tie. The Russians would likely maintain their OTL numerical advantage but they would still lack the OTL Soviet Union's industrial infrastructure, which would prevent them from spamming T-34 tanks and Zerg Rushing Germany with them like OTL. Germany in the meanwhile would still run into the same problem that did it in OTL, the lack of a reliable oil supply. Even if it isn't the aggressor in this TL's WWII, capitalist nations would be reluctant to trade Germany some oil, especially when said oil can be used to fuel the Red Reich's war effort against them. My prediction for the war's outcome is a Communist Liebensraum, Germany exports the revolution into Eastern Europe and seizes a large chunk of European Russia before both sides end up getting bogged down and stalemating due to a number of logistical problems on both sides.
 
A Communist Germany doesnt have the antisemitism of OTL, which means that Jewish scientists never leave. Therefore, Germany is in a very good position relative to OTL to be the first to can sunshine.
 
A Communist Germany doesnt have the antisemitism of OTL, which means that Jewish scientists never leave. Therefore, Germany is in a very good position relative to OTL to be the first to can sunshine.

It would be a pants-sh!ttingly scary (for the west) way to end WWII if everyone tries to dogpile on Communist Germany only for it to drop the bomb 20 miles outside Paris and cause everyone else to just go "uuuuuuhhhhhhhhhh, never mind we're leaving."
 
It would be a pants-sh!ttingly scary (for the west) way to end WWII if everyone tries to dogpile on Communist Germany only for it to drop the bomb 20 miles outside Paris and cause everyone else to just go "uuuuuuhhhhhhhhhh, never mind we're leaving."

Is it wrong that I misread that as 20 miles from Berlin and I was like...

BELKAN WAR INTENSIFIES0

But in all seriousness, a Communist Germany does equate to no antisemitism, while Russia will still have theirs. Granted, I'm also expecting France to go Hard Right because I don't see France liking the idea of a Red Germany on its borders, not without a Left Bank of the Rhine to fall back on.
 
Basically the hypothetical German victory over the USSR but with the ideologies reversed.
Is it possible for a Communist Germany to defeat a Fascist Russia, assuming it doesn't join the Allies?
A limited victory breaking off peripheral territories could be doable. A fair few Soviet citizens jumped at the "opportunity" to throw off the Russian yoke OTL, in a TL where the invader isn't trying to exterminate them I image such folks would be the majority (within their own lands) rather than outliers.
 
So the White Russians were already the guys that scapegoated the Russian Jews and drove a lot of them into the arms of the Reds OTL. Given a White Russian victory (particularly if the forces in charge are the more authoritarian elements among them), it's not hard to imagine a hypothetical Nazi Russia cracking down on its own citizens and turning many of them against the regime.

I could also see Russian belligerence getting it into trouble with both Germany and Japan at the same time.

The worst plausible situation for TTL Russia is:

- Undergoing it's own version of the depression.
- Being less industrialised due to the absence of Stalin's brutal industrialisation policies.
- Being more fragmented internally due to cracking down on ethnic and political minorities.
- Having lost territory in Central Asia and/or Ukraine during the civil war.
- Fighting a war on multiple fronts (Against Japan certainly, but also possibly Turkey, China, states that broke away during the civil war, etc).
- Having a woefully unprepared officer corps due to the regime's unwillingness to reform (Remember, Germany could rest on the laurels of the existing Prussian officer class to get by, but an equally stubborn Russia in the same situation would have no equivalent asset). For that matter, we can imagine Kolchak purging some of the officers that were sympathetic to Republicanism or Constitutional Monarchy.
- Being far more militarily exhausted than Nazi Germany was OTL. Rather than the bloodthirsty zeal shown by Germany, I could see the Russian people displaying the tired apathy of France's or Italy's people OTL. Particularly if TTL Germany was showing itself to be merciful towards surrendering troops.

Similarly, we can imagine the following plausible strengths for TTL Germany:

- Rather than Hitler's increasing brutality towards his own people, the Luxemburgists would probably be all to eager to put an end to political violence as soon as expedient. Certainly there would be some initial nastiness after a revolution, but by the late 30's Germany would probably be far more united. Many of the physicists behind Operation Manhattan would still be living in their homeland. If the outside world was looking at Germany with suspicion following the revolution, this might have the accidental effect of creating a siege mentality that pushes further German unity.
- Once Germany was at war with a tangible external foe, this might even push some of the traditional militarist forces into the camp of the Germans. Erich von Manstein, just to name an example, may not be thrilled to fight under the banner of the revolution, but he would likely be willing to fight for a threatened fatherland.
- The German Communists would be all too willing to reform the economy and with it, modes of industrial production. The artisan industrial economy that failed Germany so horribly during World War II would be long gone by the time it mattered.
- A successful German revolution would probably have a knock-on effect sparking revolutionary activity in nearby locations. It's not impossible to imagine Germany having Spanish, Hungarian, Austrian or French allies by the time of the war with Russia. Pragmatism often trumps ideology in politics, and Germany would probably eventually adopt a policy of not deliberately causing revolutions in nearby states to avoid the ire of every other country nearby, but many countries in Europe had existing revolutionary activity that could be boosted by a nearby example of success.

And then there is the grand behemoth of factors that make this war winnable for Germany:

- The second war breaks out, every Bolshevik/Bolshevik sympathiser left in Russia would immediately start causing trouble.

If we imagine even a fragment of these factors coming to fruition, a victory of Germany over Russia becomes quite easy to imagine.
 
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