Confederate Cuba

Assuming US Control long enough to place US born slave owners as the primary aristocracy of Cuba before the Civil War (by at least 1840, I think), what sort of effects do we have.

1) One (two?) more slave states, can we keep balance with California and Minnesota? This might make the Southerners more willing to fight within the system rather than leave...

2) It *won't* be enough to flip the election. (presuming the same states as Lincoln, he got 180 of 303), You'd need to have 57 more electoral votes against him.You need two states about the size of Pennsylvania (each 2 million plus people) added, and Cuba isn't that large...

3) Breaking the blockade. While the Union might find it tougher to enforce the blockade, I don't think it will be significantly so. I'm not quite sure what data is available that would help to understand that.

4) Doing a Taiwan. I can't see the Confederate Government retreating to Cuba, and even if they did, I can't see them surviving there...

Does that speak to the main points of the idea?
 
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I can see Cuba possibly becoming one or several states post Spanish-American war. But I don't see Cuba being a US State during the Civil War timeframe.
 
If the filibustering expedition worked....maybe. But i would definitely think it would become a state during/after the Spanish-American war of 1900.
 
I think it would be a while between it becoming a Territory and becoming a state, unlike California or Texas Cuba wouldn't have a sufficiently large Anglo population and I doubt that the US would admit a non-Anglo state for quite a while. They would wait for a combination of immigration and education to enact a language shift before granting statehood.
 
4) Doing a Taiwan. I can't see the Confederate Government retreating to Cuba, and even if they did, I can't see them surviving there...
This is a fascinating idea. I agree with your conclusion that it would likely prove unviable in the long run, but Cuba as sort of a super Kirby-Smithdom would be very interesting.
 
could there be a scenario where the USA and CSA ally in a war against Spain?

That's the only way I could see it happening.
 
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