Confederate capital if Virginia did not secede

The best bets would probably be Tupelo MS, Chattenooga TN, Atlanta, Knoxville TN, and Asheville NC. Very defensible, not near any Union borders, and in commercially important areas.
 
In OTL the Confederacy didn't seem to care about defensible, or nearness to Union borders. Commercially important did matter, though, the Tredegar Iron Works was one reason Richmond became the Confederate capitol.

Without Virginia, the largest population Confederate cities would be New Orleans, Charleston, Mobile, Memphis, and Savannah. I’m not sure which had the most manufacturing.

And has been pointed out, simple inertia might keep it in Montgomery.
 
Montegomery was chosen because its centralised location among the 1st tier of seceeding states. If the Northern Tier doesn't seceed, following the example of Virgina, than Montegomery is a logical location. Otherwise we'd have to be looking at what made Richmond so attractive to the Confederacy and see if those reasons can apply to other cities, or if those reasons apply anymore.
 
Montgomery seems logical, as it was the first.

If you think Montgomery is too small, don't get all excited about Atlanta: it has 2000 fewer people than Atlanta. :rolleyes:
 
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