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I feel this often enough gets ignored in debates about a surviving Confederacy. This thread is not for how the outcome of the Civil war is decided but rather how exactly the post war world would develop. Right off the bat I am going to ask everyone who participates in this discussion to accept the following things

1) Sometime in mid to late 1863 a negotiated peace is declared. The reasons for this can be any of a number of things ranging from say a much more costly union victory at Gettysburg to say a threat of European involvement.
2) The peace results in the Union recognizing the Confederacy. The confederacy in turn recognizes Union control of West Virginia, Missouri, Kentucky, Eastern Tennessee, New Mexico Territory, several islands off of the coast of the Carolina's and the Florida Keys.
3) Slavery will end up being abolished in all Union territories and states by 1865 at the latest.

Now I know all of that is a bit of a hard bite to swallow but please do so and lets work from there. Lets work from this relatively outlandish premise and try and do our best to figure out how exactly the Union and the Confederacy would develop in Economic/Industrial and Infrastructural terms over the post war years.
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