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Lets imagine the following scenario. Lenin never has his third stroke and his testament is read out at the 12th Party Congress in 1923 by a frail but firm Lenin. As a result Stalin, Grigory Zinoviev and Lev Kamenev are removed from their positions and insteed Trotsky becomes General Secretary of the Party's Central Committee in 1923 and Kamenev his second in command in the USSR.
Trodsky and Kamenev continues Lenin's more conventional Socialism and for instance Lenin's experimental program where small farmers are allowed to trade and own small parts of land are continued. Thusly no famine in the USSR in 1920s and 1930s.
With Trotsky not suffering from the parnoia which Stalin had the Sovjet Millitary is never stripped of its best and brightest and insteed the Sovjet Armed forced are modernized in the 1930s with capital earned with Trading with the West and with Western Business allowed to build factories in the country in 1920s and 1930s.
Thusly having a more friendly Socialist State which is still not a democracy but neither the evil dictorship which Stalin created in the OTL.
Come the election of Hitler in Germany in 1933 how does Comrade Trotsky act? Does he follow the same path of the OTL Sovjet Government? With him now having a strong economy and better millitary?
Come 1939 what about the Finland/Sovjet war? Will that happen?