Communist Germany after CP victory

A lot of CP victory TLs have a victorious Germany keep the Kaiser on to the present day. However, could the trope be subverted and instead could Germany had become communist after a CP victory?
 

BigBlueBox

Banned
Depends on what you mean by victory. If it’s an genuine victory then no. If it’s a Pyrrhic victory with no reparations for Germany, no gains in the West, gains in the east that are poisoned by a constant insurgency, and a total embargo by the Entente, then Germany might eventually slide into an economic depression that leads to a communist uprising. The depression would have to be really, really bad though for the uprising to be any more successful than the OTL Spartacus uprising, and it’s probably more likely that a quasi-fascist government comes into power instead.
 
@BigBlueBox, what do you mean by a "genuine victory"? If the Schlieffen Plan fully succeeds and Germany wins in 1914, I agree with you. But, most German victories after a long war will be somewhat hollow for the average citizen who's been suffering years of blockade and shortages and dead friends and relatives. Add to that the Depression - which struck the OTL victors just as hard as the vanquished - and I think a Communist uprising would be possible. I don't know how successful it would be, but it could definitely happen.
 
I doubt that. Army would crush any Communist revolt quickly. Even OTL it was able do that in 1919.
 

BigBlueBox

Banned
@BigBlueBox, what do you mean by a "genuine victory"? If the Schlieffen Plan fully succeeds and Germany wins in 1914, I agree with you. But, most German victories after a long war will be somewhat hollow for the average citizen who's been suffering years of blockade and shortages and dead friends and relatives. Add to that the Depression - which struck the OTL victors just as hard as the vanquished - and I think a Communist uprising would be possible. I don't know how successful it would be, but it could definitely happen.
For Germany to go communist, there has to be both a massive sense of disillusionment in the old establishment, nationalists and militarists, and a severe depression. If Germany actually won a massive amount of loot in reparations from France, as well as valuable land like coal or iron ore from France and Belgium, then the establishment and the military would be vindicated, even if the spoils of war came with a massive price in blood and years of shortages. But if Germany had a “mutilated victory” with no real gains then there would be much less faith in the establishment.
 
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