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What if Bill Clinton ran four yesrs earlier? With political skills far superior than those of Dukakis and Southern support I can see him winning the nomination. Even though he would have waged a much better campaign then the Duke in those good economic times I still think Bush wins Reagan's third term. Bush did win the popular vote by 53.4% and won 283 electoral votes by 53 % or less so I suppose a more worthy opponent could change the result. DIf he does lose does this defeat weaken Clinton's credibility for 1992? Does that mean Paul Tsongas wins the nomnation? if so, I think he wins. First there is the bad economy Although he does not win anywhere near as much Southern support, he wins enough Perot voters to do better in the North. if Tsongas wins that means a man who OTL died in 1997, has his job stress increased. He could very well die in office. Then again. Clinton would probably lose by a narrow margin or he did could not get the nomination. He then probably wins the 1992 nomination and election and nothing changes.
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