civil war starts early

okay, i'm wondering three things: first, would the north have still won the war if it started in 1858 instead of 1861? second. how would the war be fought, who would command the opposing forces, and what states would go north or south? Third, what event in 1858 would set all of this off or is it even possible? Maybe having john brown do his harpers's ferry raid a year earlier? Thoughts? comments? please respond and let me know.
 
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