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Suppose that after his landslide defeat by Brian Mulroney in 1984 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canadian_federal_election%2C_1984 John Turner had either stepped down as leader of the Liberals or had died in a traffic accident or had been ousted by the party in favor of Jean Chretien? When the 1988 elections come around, will Chretien win? How would his term look like?