Chinese civil war vs. Spanish civil war: which had a bigger world impact

Which civil war had a bigger impact?

  • Spanish civil war

    Votes: 9 7.6%
  • Chinese civil war

    Votes: 110 92.4%

  • Total voters
    119
If the Spanish Civil War went the other way, then an anti-fascist Spain would have been invaded by Germany, wasting resources of Germany and causing Barbarossa to fail, placing Spain in the Allies, the Axis in Europe to lose a year or two earlier, thus the Japanese Empire to also fall a year or two earlier, allowing the Allies to support the Nationalists more heavily, causing the Nationalists to win the Chinese Civil War.
 
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Despite the cliches a Republican victory/no civil war doesn't immediately leads to Communist Spain.
The question is about the relative effects of the outcomes of the two civil wars, so no SCW doesn't come into it.

I agree that a victorious Republic would not immediately become Communist. But one must recognize that the Socialists were also "Reds". Also, the Republic existed in a state of what historian Stalney Payne called "revolutionary dualism". That is, while the official institutions of the Spanish state continued to operate, "revolutionary" authorities also formed in response to the rebellion, and operated in parallel with the official state. This conflict would have to be resolved after the defeat of the rebellion.

IMHO, once the war started, the Republic lurched well to the left, and I don't see anything pushing it back. THere might be a follow-on conflict between the anarchosyndicalists and the Socialist/Communist state. Azaña's middle-class "Republican Left" would be a cipher in such a struggle, having no armed partisans. Overall, ISTM that "Red Spain" is a reasonable term.
 
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