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How would the world look if China was able to stop the Mongols and later the Manchu from conquering China (I know this unlikely consider how powerful the Mongols where)? I believe it was the Manchu who banned firearms from china.

Would they have discovered the new world and become a trading dynamo or would Confucianism inherent distaste for traders leave them as backwards as they where in the 1850s?

Would the industrial revolution have happened in China as well as England and Germany?
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