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In late November 1700 Karl (Charles) XII of Sweden defeated a Russian army four times the size of his own army at Narva.


The Swedish army went into winter quarters and received substantial reinforcements from the Swedish mainland and Finland. Then it turned south to defeat the Saxon army that had besieged the Swedish city of Riga, but abandoned the siege with the arrival of the Swedish army in the Baltic's.


In July 1701 the Swedish army crossed the river Düna and defeated the mainly Saxon army which tried to block the crossing. Originally it was planned by Karl XII and his generals to afterwards march eastwards and at least seize the Russian city of Pskov (or Pleskov as the Swedish then called it).
But instead of this the Swedish army marched south and fought a war in Poland for the next six years giving Russia and Tsar Peter I to reorganise his army and eventually defeat the Swedish army at Poltava.


So lets assume that that instead of being “just” a victory, the crossing of Düna is a smashing success and the Saxon army is during the rout pursued and destroyed by the Swedish cavalry. This allows the Swedish army to turn its attention eastwards from 1702 and onwards.


What happens then? Does Pskov fall in 1702, Novgorod in 1703 and Moscow in 1703-04? Or does Tsar Peter pull a miracle out from his coat-sleeves and manage to defeat the Swedish army at its prime on the field of battle? Or does he call for peace in time to save him from humiliating defeat?
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