Dr Pervez Hoodbhoy
Banned
Your challenge, should you choose to accept it, is to make Yugoslavia under its Cold War borders a member of the European Community/Union by 2000 with a POD after the ratification of the 1974 federal constitution.
Tito surviving for 10 more years. Yugoslavia will join EU before it disintegrates after his death. The guy was Yugoslavia.a POD after the ratification of the 1974 federal constitution.
You cant have Tito surviving for more than two or three years longer. And you cant have communism breaking down and having multi party elections before 1989.
First, you need fix economic problems that made people seek enemies and reasons why stuff was going from bad to worse. Major cause of economic collapse was increase of foreign debt after '70es oil crysis, and disasterous programs by IMF to repay that debt. Following as good as possible IMFs programs Yugo just kept breaking its ecconomy more and more, having more and more debt to pay up. I dont have a clue how to settle this.
Fixing nationallism is much more difficult. If Slobo and Tudjman and Alija werent there, some other folks would have "stood up for the rights of thier people". Tito played everyone against everyone to be sure he is on top and no nationality is too dominant. Sure it ended with Serb and Montegerin dominated millitary and high ranks of party and ecconomic structure dominated by Croats and Slovenians, but for a time it worked. But after Tito died that created more problems that it solved by everyone conisdering other nationalites taking too much power and being responsible for everything bad.
Second parallel problem is the unresolved memories of WWII. In "brotherhood and unity" doctrines everyones crimes in WWII were shoved under the carpet in order to not poor more gasolene on fire. And so everyones hatred and revenge wishes fermened in dark for 40 years.
But maybe. If each of these causes is lessend a bit somehow, not eliminated as that is impossible, just decreased a bit... you might hope for a express admition into EU in 1992. or 1993. as a Europe's finanical sacrifice to prevent a war on the continent.