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Historically, the Northern Fujiwara rulers of northern Honshu were defeated by Minamoto no Yoritomo in 1189. However, is there any way to reverse this? Presumably, the divergence would before the Gempei War, and might see Minamoto no Yoshitsune win out over his brother Yoritomo. What would be the effect of this? At best, could we see a Hiraizumi Shogunate, or something to that extent?
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