Challenge: An Independent Antarctic State, Without Natives

I find the idea of different routes for Antarctica fascinating; largely, admittedly, because I like the idea of how politics would evolve in such an environment.

So, your challenge, should you choose to accept it, is to create a TL in which an independent Antarctic state arises, with no human contact with Antarctica before the nineteenth century.

Difficult, admittedly, but the possibilities are too enticing to pass up. Antarctica gets divided between the main powers? Argentina presses its claims more thoroughly, moving thousands to the continent? A superpower seizes it, loses a war, and the area becomes a UN territory prior to independence?

Bonus points if you can make McMurdo Station the capital city.
 
there was a novel on this very subject back in the early 80s... a bunch of US oil corporations sponser a bunch of settlers to take over Antarctica (supposedly for the oil wealth that will be found there) and declare it a soveriegn nation. They have very high tech dwellings and survival gear, and do pretty well at first, although they have to import damn near everything. Eventually, Chile gets pissed, invades, and slaughters the whole lot of them....
 
PoD: In 190X, after the south pole has been visited by humans for the first time, a cosmopolitan bunch of adventurers from Europe decides to settle the place. They manage to get the money together for their plan, to produce or buy the necessary equipment, and sail to their new home.

There, they choose a comparably temperate area to build their first settlement, a small harbor, and quite a few green houses to supplement their food.

Anyone is invited to come to the place, they just have to bring along items that happen to be in high demand and little supply at the station at the time.

Fishing, ressource mining, scientific research, maybe ice transports to South America and southern Africa, and other activities net enough income to allow a high standard of living. The population keeps increasing.

The other powers still build stations there similar to OTL, and there's also the neutral status of the Antarctis, though disputed by countries claiming territory there.

An Chilean intervention to claim the territory by force is stopped by European powers shortly before wwi, leading to the territory becoming armed and getting a government-like structure.

The war makes lots of people from Europe and other places migrate to the place. After the war, it gets even more due to the economic turmoil of the time. The colony has to limit immigration to people able to supply needed skills, equipment, or money, to not expand faster than it can handle.

The rich coal and iron deposits there lead to a booming ship building industry, partly for own use, partly exporting ships to other nations. This also helps build up a small navy, mostly fishing ships with a few guns on board.

The growing importance of Antarctica leads to an earlier establishment of other stations, like the American McMurdo station, which is established in the late 20s, shortly before the world economic crisis. All the activity leads to more settlers, more local trade, faster development, and so on.

The world economic crisis leads to an abandonment of most of those stations, as they are expensive and yield rather little returns. Lots of people still stay there, and they unite to form a country. The new country makes McMurdo the capital. It has just about 100 000 inhabitants at the time. It chooses English as its official language.

The intolerance and persecution of the 30s adds a lot of new settlers and skills to Antarctica. The population doubles nearly every 2 years. This is helped by a common believe that a lot of people are needed to avoid other countries trying to conquer the territory. New metal and glass oriented factories and other industries enable the people to add green houses, ships, homes, and so on as they are needed. Even banks and a stock market are established.

In 1940, Antarctica has 1 million inhabitants.

The war makes further people flee to Antarctica, so does the economic and social misery in Europe after wwii.

By now, the population is 5 million people. McMurdo, with 1 million people, is a major city.
 
Bright day
Global warming, claims settled for resources like oil, one French-US war ;) later the remaining French territory is made an independent country.
 
jolo said:
PoD: In 190X, after the south pole has been visited by humans for the first time, a cosmopolitan bunch of adventurers from Europe decides to settle the place. They manage to get the money together for their plan, to produce or buy the necessary equipment, and sail to their new home.

There, they choose a comparably temperate area to build their first settlement, a small harbor, and quite a few green houses to supplement their food.
Slight problem with getting established. It is going to take a lot of money to get established and maintain. That sort of adventurer is going to to head for America or Australia because the prospects would be better.

jolo said:
Fishing, ressource mining, scientific research, maybe ice transports to South America and southern Africa, and other activities net enough income to allow a high standard of living.

jolo said:
The rich coal and iron deposits there lead to a booming ship building industry, partly for own use, partly exporting ships to other nations. This also helps build up a small navy, mostly fishing ships with a few guns on board.

Apart from the sciencitic research everything produced in Antartica is going to be more expensive that that produced elsewhere if only because of the high energy costs. Take coal mining at Barentburg on Spitzbergen. It was never a boom industry and is today no longer exported.

So, in any industry where the Antarcticas can make a profit, other countries will flood the market with cheaper goods/materials. The former are methaphorically frozen out because they can't compete.

What is more likely is a Klondike sisutation. If extemely valuable minerals were found, prospectors would go out there in the hopes of striking it big. Most of them won't and the real money will be made by merchants supplying in supplies especially food at cheaper prices than the greenhouse brigade can produce it at.
 
Michael B said:
Slight problem with getting established. It is going to take a lot of money to get established and maintain. That sort of adventurer is going to to head for America or Australia because the prospects would be better.

People act irrational. There were worse ideas. Also, lots of people still went to Canada after Australia was equally accessible. Not to mention the US. People also went to places were local populations regularly decimated their colonies. It shouldn't be too unrealistic to have a small group of well-off people have such an idea. Even in worst case scenarios, there should be enough for a comfortable living of a few thousand people there.

Michael B said:
Apart from the sciencitic research everything produced in Antartica is going to be more expensive that that produced elsewhere if only because of the high energy costs. Take coal mining at Barentburg on Spitzbergen. It was never a boom industry and is today no longer exported.

So, in any industry where the Antarcticas can make a profit, other countries will flood the market with cheaper goods/materials. The former are methaphorically frozen out because they can't compete.

The coal mines did export coal at one time, and I suppose the mines made some money this way. Also, underground mining should be as cheap (or expensive). A steel mill would produce enough heat for quite a population. The half year night and days might even be useful to gain an advantage during summer, while production in winter is reduced to local needs. I suppose what happened in Alaska, Siberia, northern Canada, and northern Scandinavia would be possible in the Antarctic, too.

Michael B said:
What is more likely is a Klondike sisutation. If extemely valuable minerals were found, prospectors would go out there in the hopes of striking it big. Most of them won't and the real money will be made by merchants supplying in supplies especially food at cheaper prices than the greenhouse brigade can produce it at.

That's also a good idea. Up to the 1950s, it would be difficult to transport fresh foods into the area, though. But there'll definitely be trade, to increase efficiency. Some protection might be necessary, but as many countries do that, standard of living should still be competitive. One might also assume that more people stay after the rush of whatever it is, because one industry (steel, glass, fishing, or whatever) becomes profitable in time and able to employ lots of people at good wages.
 
Sorry to practice thread necromancy, but I have, as they say, an Idea.

The POD is that President Salvadore Allende manages to flee before the military take the capital. Most of Chile recognises Pinochet's new regime, except for the southern province of Antartica Chilena Province, under a radical governor loyal to Allende, who declares independence as the Socialist Republic of Antarctic Chile (SRAC) with Allende as president. A military mutiny on the weather station of Eduardo Frei, in Antarctica, leads to the soldiers stationed there declaring their loyalty to Allende. Although military forces swarm the mainland portions of the province, a threatened confrontation with the Soviet Union prevents them from taking the almost uninhabited Chilean claim to Antarctica, which becomes the sole territory of the SRAC. Allende, in exile in Cuba, remains as President.

For the next 17 years, the SRAC becomes perhaps the most bizarre part of the Communist Bloc. Cuban aid is used to maintain the economy, while immigration is encouraged from the Soviet Union for the sake of keeping up appearances. By 1980, the state has a population of 1500, mostly clustered around the former weather station of Eduardo Frei Montalva, renamed Villa Las Estrellas on King George Island. Almost all their food is imported. The SRAC is unrecognised by the rest of the world, who do not recognise its claims over Antarctica, and is generally viewed as a rather curious dissident province of Chile. However, the presence of so many Soviet-friendly forces on King George Island leads to an increase in the population of other stations there, to prevent expansionism. Elections are frequently held, although only one candidate, Allende, runs. Allende remains in a lavish exile in Cuba.

As in the rest of the Soviet bloc, the 1980s were a time of liberalisation for the SRAC. The first mayoral elections for Las Estrellas are held in 1981, with the Socialist Party candidate predictably dominating. A policy of 'self-reliance' leads to the creation of large greenhouses for the creation of food; this, combined with the relatively more liberal political conditions present in the SRAC than the rest of the Communist Bloc, leads to an increase in immigration by those dissatisfied with the Soviet regime. By 1985, the SRAC had an active population of 2000, including over a hundred children. However, even with the self-reliance policy, they were still heavily dependent upon the Soviet Union for all their economic, food and water needs.

As glasnost and perestroika took hold in the Soviet Union, the SRAC suffered terribly, with famine beginning to take hold. The economy collapsed, and the nation's lack of natural resources or economic opportunities made a recovery impossible. Feelers were extended towards a reunion with Chile. With the retirement of Pinochet in 1990, this became at last possible. On 11 March 1990, as Pinochet stepped down, the SRAC surrendered its sovereignty and was annexed by Chile. 17 years of self-government were over.
 

Darkest

Banned
I can't see Australia with a population over 8000. And that's what I believe its maximum is... a more plausible answer would be half or a third of that number. 5 million people? Not for thousands of years, when the temperature might get to the place and make it barely livable.
 

ninebucks

Banned
1786 - People begin settling in British South Georgia and Sandwich Isles. These pioneers are mostly Scandanavian and British.

1872 - After reading 'Journey to the Centre of the Earth', eccentric Chilean inventor and aristocrat Pedro Manuel Egenau is inspired to begin work on the steam-powered drilling machine.

1879 - With his prototype completed, Egenau and contraption set sail to South Georgia, where he plans to hire a troup of whalingmen as guides into the Antarctic mainland. His plan is to test his drill first in the Antarctic Ice before attempting to drill through solid rock. The whalers take his offer but insist in waiting untill the following summer.

1880 - Egenau makes his historic first drill and reaches the Antarctic surface through thirty feet of ice. The team make another six drills while on the continent, the deepest 48ft deep.

1881 - Egenau returns to Chile and attempts to drill through the solid land of his estate. Unfortunately he dies when his first terrestrial pit collapses on top of him.

1910 - A team of British explorers discover the remains of Egenau's pits. Intrigued they ask the South Georgians if they knew anything about them. An old Norwegian whaler tells him of the Chilean inventor, intrigued, the explorers head off to Chile that winter to find Egenau. Upon finding that he has died they arrange to buy the inventors notes and blueprints from his widow.

1911 - Upon return to London the explorers begin circulating Egenau's work. The technicalities themselves are woefully out of date, the British Empire has left the steam age, but the idea of tunnelling under the Antarctic Ice strikes a chord, both in terms of colonialist adventure, and the real material wealth the continent could hold. Work begins developing a new generation of oil-powered Antarctic tunnellers.

1913 - Britain sends a fleet of four tunnellers and a team of 40 experts to Antarctica to begin a five year mission to found a subterranean research station. Among the experts are architects whose job it is to supervise the construction of the tunnels in such a way that cave-ins do not occur.

1914 - France begins an Antarctic program, but the program is interrupted by the Great War.

1918 - The Great War ends and nations are free to continue or begin their Antarctic programs. France, America, Australia, South Africa, Chile and Argentina all send crews to found Antarctic colonies.

1920 - The British Colony makes its first significant discovery of coal. Industrial scale mining begins. Later in the year America makes a similar discovery.

1933 - In light of the Depression, Antarctica is decided by its colonial administrators to be made an example of the power of industrialisation. Work programs begin to drastically increase the scope of the tunnels and the various colonies are connected by a new railway system, many low-skilled workers are hired from the mother countries. Imperial Japan and the Soviet Union both send their first drilling teams. The population by the end of the year is nearly 10,000.

1939-45 - World War Two. Hitler makes tacit claims to Antarctica. Behind the scenes it is agreed between the Third Reich, Chile and Argentina that in the outcome of an Axis victory Antarctica would be shared between the three of them. Of course, the Allies win and Germany is kept away from Antarctica. Over the War the Antarctic Colonies had been important industrial settings, many colonies had repaid their initial developement costs and were now beginning to make a profit. The Soviet Union annex the Japanese colony.

1950 - A loosely worded Antarctic Treaty is signed that sets out the legitimacy of national claims to the continent.

1951 - The largest conurbation beneath the ice is incorporated as the City of Ergenau. Ergenau is linked by rail to all major colonial centres except those of the Soviet Union. India arrives to form a buffer colony between the Soviet Union and the Western Colonies, the Indian colony is supported by both the Comintern and the Commonwealth.

1955 - China establishes an Antarctic colony. The first mayoral elections are held in Ergenau, many other colonial 'cities' follow suit.

1964 - The Antarctic population is now over one million.

1969-74 - Greenpeace is founded and becomes the first NGO to settle in Antarctica. The Greenpeace Colony becomes the most rapidly growing of them all as it forms the base of a series of anti-whaling operations. Later in the year, due to Greenpeace intervention and an act of British legislation in 1974 whaling is no longer performed within the Antarctic Circle.

1972 - The USA puts a man on the moon.

1975 - The Greenpeace Colony, long out of any real jurisdiction, declares its independence as the Starlis Republic. It takes the form of a highly democratic, morally liberal, environmentalist state. The example inspires other colonists to petition for greater democratic say.

1976 - Argentinian forces put down pro-democracy riots in their colony. The remaining Western colonies close the rail lines to Argentine Antarctica. By the middle of the year a democratic coup occurs in the colony and the railways are reopened. The colonial governors, in defiance of their motherlands, agree to protect the liberties of their fellow colonists by all means neccessary in the historic Ergenau Declaration.

1977 - The Soviet Colony, supported by Antarctic Radicals, declares its independence. The Soviet Navy is sent down to crush the rebellion, but are engaged by the fledgling Antarctic Navy (a volunteer fleet), who, being clearly disadvantaged resort to suicide tactics. The Battle of Sabrina, as it becomes to be know, sinks seventeen Antarctic ships and three Soviet vessels. The remainder of the Soviet fleet lands in Antarctica to the disgust of the world but is simply unable to restore order, no accurate maps are available of the tunnels and so the Soviet marines are lead off in to dead ends and picked off one by one by the hidden rebels.

1978 - The Soviet Union hobbles away from Antarctica with 25,000 of its most elite troops dead and not a dent made in the colony's resolve to remain independent. Soviet leader Leonid Brezhnev is removed from office and replaced by Yuri Andropov. Andropov prgamatically accepted the Sabrina Colony's independence and concentrated instead on cleaning up the USSR from within. Many within the Soviet Union saw him as weak and within his reign independence movements sprang up throughout the disentegrating USSR...

1980 - The combined leadership of the colonies, emboldened by their victory over the Soviet Union issue a statement to their respective motherlands that they, having decided democratically, wish to declare their independence. With the exception of China (who, in the light of the 77-79 war, realise they have no chance of keeping their colony, chose instead to simply ignore the declaration), all of the colonising nations consent.

1981 - The Antarctic Federation is recognised as an independent nation.
 
POD: 1930's-Hitler takes more seriously the idea of developing Neuschwabenland despite its unfriendly climate. Weatherstations and military forces are established in the region. A few "settlers" are sent in 1939.

1940-When Norway is defeated, it is forced to cede Bouvetøya to Germany. The Germans establish a small encampment on the island (called Thule, perhaps?), and make it the capital of Neuschwabenland.

1945-As Germany is defeated, the "government" of Newschwabenland declares itself the Neuschwabenland Sozialrepublik (NSSR). It is armed with minimal supplies, chiefly what it could get out of Germany.

1959-NSSR refuses to recognize the Antarctic Treaty.

1965-Several African governments arew bribed into recognizing the independence of the slowly-growing NSSR; South Africa also recognizes the government, and allows an NSSR embassy on its soil. In return, Neuschwabenland recognizes the Prince Edward Islands as South African.

1967-People travel successfully with Neuschwabenland passports

1975-Neuschwabenland formally disavows Nazism, and condemns Nazism; leadership forms the Neuschwabenland Democratic Party, holds first elections in 1976. A Grand Council-Grossrat-is to be formed, and a formal constitution is to be voted upon once those elected take their seats.

1977-Paraguay recognizes Neuschwabenland.

1985-Several banking operations become established in the country.

Is this worth taking farther?
 
Is this worth taking farther?

I think it's a very interesting idea; it's a novel twist on the 'Nazi remnants' scenario. I can't see why the Allies don't simply conquer the islands, though...

I'd be interested in seeing the rest of it.
 
I can't see Australia with a population over 8000. And that's what I believe its maximum is... a more plausible answer would be half or a third of that number. 5 million people? Not for thousands of years, when the temperature might get to the place and make it barely livable.

So where exactly do the 20 million of us live, New Zealand?

Sorry, I know what you meant.
 

Xen

Banned
Im thinking something along the lines of Greenland, perhaps Antartica is settled by Swedes, Danes, Norweigans, etc. Or maybe even Russians.

Anyhow Antartica is not going to have a very large population, maybe 10,000 but I think half that number is more likely. The country, will be dependent on other nations, I believe Chile and Argentina are most likely. The Republic of Antartica, which claims the whole continent (but this is not recognized by most nations) is very lowly populated, and very poor. Fish is an important part of the diet, and perhaps some fruits and vegtables can be grown as well, Im thinking of potatoes maybe. Meats will be scarce, I can see them actually eating Walrus and penguin, perhaps they can have some chickens and pork farms as well. With foreign aid, bio-domes are built a little further inland, which could help the population growth.

The economy has no real driving force behind it, well I guess whaling will keep it going in the early years, but as been pointed out it will be cheaper to do it else where, but thats never stopped people before, maybe it is believed there will be more abundunt resources inland, but whaling turns out to be the life blood of the economy. When whaling starts to go out, foreign aid starts coming in, in the latter half of the century, tourism actually becomes the nations most important resource, people want to go see the penguins and killer whales, etc. Then there is the research on going, which feeds into Antartica.

How, and why Antartica becomes and independent from its mother country, I don't know! Unless its Russian and breaks away because of the Revolution, or is Danish and breaks away because the Nazi's occupy Denmark.
 

Xen

Banned
Would the Antartic Republic had any military forces at all?

Perhaps they have something like the Bahamas have, let us say for the sake of argument the Republic of Antartica has a population of 10,000 the Antartica military will probably be limited to about 500-600 people acting as both a Coast Guard and Army, their Air Force a couple of helicopters.
 
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