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I am curious if the United states can become an oil exporter. The quantity of oil exported doesn't matter, the US can still consume most of its own oil, but it can't import oil in large quantities and must export a fair amount (not just a few drops).

Can the US pull it off?

My attempt:
-The US passes a VAT tax on automobiles starting in the 1910's as part of the war effort, this proves to provide so much income that it is kept after the war and is supported by the railroad industry.
-Tram's and inner city rail never fall out of favor to the extent that they do OTL.
-Urban design methods never accommodate the car to the extent that they do, instead staying pedestrian and bike friendly with heavy emphasis on mass transit.
- In the 1970's, high speed rail begins to electrify.

The problem I have is with the fundamental numbers. If in 2010 the US produces 9 million bbl/ a day but consumes 19 bbl per day, then the US imports 10 mil bbl/ per day. If however the US slashes bbl consumption per citizen down to lets say the level of Denmark or France, then the US breaks even. At UK levels of consumption, the US can probably start to export a fair amount.
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