Challange: United States LOSE the World War

1) no Enigma intelligence. Just getting the Enigma crack was the result of a chain of unlikely circumstances.

2) one of the early assassination attempts on Churchill succeeds. There were several mentioned in the recent "Churchill's Bodyguard" BBC series, using information available after the expiration of the 50-year rolling cutoff.
 

Spengler

Banned
1) no Enigma intelligence. Just getting the Enigma crack was the result of a chain of unlikely circumstances.

2) one of the early assassination attempts on Churchill succeeds. There were several mentioned in the recent "Churchill's Bodyguard" BBC series, using information available after the expiration of the 50-year rolling cutoff.
How does that change anything?

America still makes the bomb and because they can't launch a successful invasion of Europe we instead just continue development of long range, high flying bomber and drop several nukes on the Nazis.
 
The Business Plot wouldn't have worked because the unemployed WWI veterans they were planning to use as shock troops generally despised big business and would have supported FDR, especially in light of what had happened to the Bonus Army.

With regards to the question at hand, as others have said, the U.S. can "lose" WWI quite easily if the Michael Offensive has succeeded by the time American troops begin arriving in significant numbers. Most likely, the U.S. will merely retire the colors to fight another day. It can only lose WWII if the war is unrecognizably different from the one that happened in OTL.

It should also be noted that it's possible for the USA to be a geopolitical loser of both World Wars without actively participating in either to the extent it did IOTL. As far as the Business Plot like all US coups it runs into the crudest problem of them all in too much country with too little soldier.
 
World War I - US invades Mexico after Zimmerman Telegram goes slightly differently and lands in France only in time to see the german Spring Offensive reach Paris in May 1918. France capitulates, UK accepts a peace settlement, and the US admits "defeat".

The US wouldn't admit defeat. They'd just get a status quo ante peace, since neither side would be able to touch each other.
 
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