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How would it be done, with the 'easiest' point of departure?

I have an idea: Nikolai Nikolaevich and STAVKA hesitated evacuating the First, Second, and Fourth Russian armies from Poland in early July during the Gorlice-Tarnow Offensive. It was absolutely necessary: the Twelfth German Army and Mackensen's troops were trying to encircle the Polish fortresses this Russian force held, almost in a blitzkrieg-like fashion. The First, Second, and Fourth would be absolutely destroyed if they did not evacuate.

Its likely the GT Offensive would last until October with the extra fighting, with likely the same line drawn from Riga to the Romanian border. The problem is that the Russian morale will be shattered, and STAVKA will be panicking that three armies had been captured. I don't think the food and fuel problems are enough to spark the revolution for the winter of 1915/16, but... its not going to take much for the Germans to punch through to the Baltics and the Ukraine without these three armies (essentially 765,000 men knocked out instead of OTL 240,000).

I think this is as good a POD as any, but I don't know how it would exactly play out... the Revolution was required before an armistice could be made. The Tsarist government was absolutely opposed to ending the war. I guess we need a different one. What do you guys think?
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