Casualties from Nuking Tokyo Bay

Since no one reads the Books/Media subforum, here's another historical article with alternate history implications. The conclusion:

Assuming a uniform population distribution of 1000 people per square km and 24 kilometer per hour north-easterly wind, the cloud could expose 100,000 people to radiation, though very few will experience lethal doses. Accordingly, this component of the Quartz piece checks out: nuking Tokyo Bay would have provided an awesome display of power, visible from the tactical intimacy of Japan’s own capital, with orders of magnitude fewer civilian casualties.
 

raharris1973

Gone Fishin'
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interesting. I'm sure the population distribution was *not* uniform, but the author could be right about net fewer casualties.

How much of risk is there from using that aimpoint that you've vaporized the Emperor and any authorities capable of implementing a surrender decision?
 
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