Where I start to take issue is your political predictions:
The problem is that the Canadian political spectrum is to the left of the US spectrum. Way left. The Liberals might die off, but because they got squeezed between the Democrats and the NDP, not the Dems and the GOP. I think this sums it up best:
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I suspect the NDP has a long, prosperous future ahead of it.
(Also, there'll be a CanadaFirst! party pretty quick, as well.)
Its not a question of left right split its a question of ability to get things done in the US Congress and have the funds to back national elections in other states. Only the Progressive Conservative are going to be a factor in the expanded Senate. That the New Democratic Party is so more left than the US Democrats is moot if they are unable to do anything with their political stance because of lack of funds and political support structure. The 1980's US politics was very different compared to today and both parties were more towards the center. Quirks of US election laws are going to make it very hard for either the DNP or PC to expand.
As to Prince Edward Island, it is like 1/2 or 1/3 the size of the smallest US state it would be a problem.
Michael