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In my international relations class we've been spending a good deal of time on the Israeli-Arab conflict. In particular the Camp David Accords. I am curious what everyone thinks would happen, short and long term, if the Camp David Accords had failed.

I think a few things would occur,
. Another Arab-Israeli war sometime in the early 80's
. Israel would put more effort into keeping Iran an ally, even if it means covert operations to assassinate anti-Shah protest leaders, including the Ayatollah.
. If the above occurs, and prevents the Iranian hostage crisis, Jimmy Carter has a much better chance of winning the 1980 election.

I'm considering writing a timeline with this PoD. What do you guys think? I'm still doing more research into the politics of Israel and the surrounding Middle Eastern Nations.
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