Cambrai Offensive instead of Passchendaele

In a scenario that the British and Russians do worse in against the Germans significantly [Britain loses many ships and at least 50,000 more troops at the Somme and the Russians suffer at least 100,000 more casualties in the 1916 and early 1917 [up to the Kerensky Offensive] for a bigger threat to Petrograd] with Romania, Greece and America staying neutral as a result, when this is combined with unrestricted submarine warfare being cancelled and worse French mutinies, would Cambrai seem like a better option from Passchendaele for a summer offensive?
Here are the sources for the links:
https://books.google.com.my/books?i...&sa=X&redir_esc=y#v=onepage&q=cambrai&f=false
https://books.google.com.my/books?i...kxwIVWI6OCh26JA7w#v=onepage&q=cambrai&f=false
https://books.google.com.my/books?i...THAhUFA44KHVzRAJ8#v=onepage&q=cambrai&f=false
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Cambrai_(1917)
https://www.alternatehistory.com/discussion/showthread.php?t=96534
 
By the way, I'm considering this as a feasible and original option for a timeline or continuation [preferably with less Wikipedia usage]. But would the Hindenburg Line matter in the face of British tanks and a last ditch French major offensive to boost morale? After all, American neutrality and no unrestricted submarine warfare are factors to be considered in this scenario.
According to The Great War on the Western Front A Short History, here is the quotation
There was, however, another potential site for the great midsummer offensive of 1917, which with today's hindsight we can suggest would have been considerably better than Ypres. This was the Cambrai sector, to the south of Arras, where the British were not in a salient and where the well-drained ground had not been churned up by years of shellfire. Admittedly it was a sector in which the Germans were especially well-fortified in their new Hindenburg Line, but they were especially well-fortified at Ypres too, so maybe there was no significant disadvantage in that respect. As it happens, Cambrai would be the scene of a dramatic British success on 20 November, but by that time too many of the available resources had already been consumed in the Ypres salient. The Cambrai battle - really it should be called little more than a 'raid' - could not be sustained for more than ten days. We may speculate that if only the main weight of the BEF had been deployed to Cambrai in midsummer, the overall level of success might have been very much higher than it was.
Any more ideas?
And, does this offensive have any chance of diverting as many German troops as possible?
 
A Rough Timeline for this proposal

[Bumping this after 4 days without responses by writing this timeline. If Germany doesn't go unrestricted submarine warfare and does better on the Western and Eastern Front by 10,000s more casualties than reality, do you think that Cambrai could be a more realistic proposal?]
After the failure of the Nivelle Offensive and the resulting French mutinies, the British contemplated an offensive to relieve pressure on Russia and France, with the former suffering from revolutionary turmoil and the latter suffering from weakening of the army. With America and Romania neutral, the logistical and irrelevance of the Ottoman Fronts and the mountains of northeastern Italy and Macedonia, plus a heavily weakened Royal Navy barely surviving and saving Britain from surrender by inflicting heavy German losses and receiving French reinforcements, the situation required an offensive.
The original plans decided on an offensive against Passchendaele, but the muddy terrain, weather and urgency of saving British allies and permitting the French to resume offensive operations changed British opinions as to the launching sector. It was decided that a raid against Messines be made as a diversion. This was approved and it achieved some tactical and morale victory, albeit minor. [German performance at Messines being slightly better than reality due to butterflies.] While the problem was that the u boat danger from Flanders couldn't be eliminated or dealt with, piercing the notoriously strong Hindenburg Line with the assistance of tanks would sound like a better and easier approach, especially with the expected breakthrough provided by the tanks and slightly better weather and ground. Also, expected French support and recovery would be easier with the offensive closer to the French Army. The problem was in getting the necessary tanks ready. The objectives of the offensive were Cambrai, Artois and Lens with a minor offensive in Ypres as a diversion.
The mass tank offensive in the Cambrai sector was the brainchild of Brigadier General Hugh Elles, who was also the British Tank Corps' commander and a proponent of tank usage. Artillery reinforcements were done in silence and concealed in order to gain surprise under the British 9th [Scottish] Division's artillery commander Henry Hugh Tudor. In June 1917, after halting operations off Arras, Tudor began planning the surprise attack in the IV Corps area using artillery and infantry heavily with the support of a small number of tanks in preparation of getting a breakthrough pass the Hindenburg Line's rugged defences. Cambrai was heavily fortified in depth by the German without previous enemy activity over the war nearby and this was considered by British preparations. Tudor's plan sought to experiment the new tactical usage of combined arms with focus on simultaneous and quick artillery and infantry techniques to test their worth against strong German fortifications in achieving a breakthrough. Sound ranging and silent registration of guns to obtain immediate surprise upon firing were included in Tudor's planning. Finally, Tudor's plans included the usage of tanks to achieve the breakthrough against the deep barbed wire obstacles in the German defences, while the No.106 shell fuze reinforced the tank force's effectiveness with the high explosive (HE) ammunition designed to detonate without creating craters the ground that would route obstructions and assist German effectiveness at countering the offensive.
According to the book, Cambrai 1917: The Myth of the First Great Tank Battle, more details were given about the preparations in chapter 3.
https://books.google.com.my/books?i...uxwIVlZCOCh3cXAAd#v=onepage&q=cambrai&f=false as source.
 
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Cambrai Offensive

On 1 August, the day when the offensive was supposed to begin, Haig was questioned by his generals as to the readiness of his tanks. At Ypres, the Germans were worried about another offensive, but they became even worried about an offensive at Cambrai when the artillery bombardment began on 25 July and hit several pillboxes. The British forces involved the 3rd Army and most of the troops from the 4th and 5th Armies. Troops facing the French, in Belgium, on their way to the east and reserves were transferred to Cambrai and the German 6th and 2nd Armies were readied to man the guns and defences of the Hindenburg Line. The offensive had to be postponed to permit the arrival of tanks to the frontline, but Haig wasted no time in getting the preparations ready. When the offensive kicked off the next day, the element of surprise was lost.
The battle initiated at about 06:00 on 2 August when the anticipated 1500 gun bombardment on German defences started, leaving smoke and a creeping barrage at 270 metres (300 yd) ahead to hide and support the first advance. However, efforts to conceal the attack were futile as the Germans received adequate intelligence to be on heavy alert when the major offensive was revealed to be against Havrincourt, with the usage of supporting tanks being anticipated. Lieutenant General Pulteney commanded the attacking force with six infantry divisions from the British III Corps on the right and on the left, the IV Corps, under General Woolcombe's command, assisted the nine battalions of the Tank Corps with about 400 tanks used. One infantry division in IV Corps and the three divisions of the Cavalry Corps, under Lieutenant-General Kavanagh, were placed in reserve for the anticipated breakthrough. Considerable success was experienced in the assault sectors initially and it was thought that a breakthrough would come; with the Hindenburg Line being pierced by fast tank and mobile advances. British 12th Division advanced as far as Lateau Wood before being ordered to consolidate. The British 20th Division reached La Vacquerie and then proceeded to take a bridge across the St. Quentin Canal. The bridge collapsed under the weight of a tank halting the hopes for an advance across the canal. In the centre, the British 6th Division captured Ribécourt and Marcoing before being repulsed by a German counter attack which chased the division back to its original positions.
On the IV Corps front, British 51st Division aimed to make its first objective Flesquières. This risked enfilade fire landing on the attacking divisions. George Montagnue Harper, the division's commander himself, had replaced his own tank drill for the standard one prepared by the Tank Corps; that and excessive distance between the tanks and the infantry resulted in his advance failing. It was apparent that Flesquières was among the toughest points of the Hindenburg line and was surrounded by other defence points. Its defenders under Major Krebs were capable of shelling enemy tanks, with approximately 50 being destroyed by artillery there. Some accounts even brought the dubious claim that five were destroyed by an artillery officer named Theodor Krüger's guns. The 'expert' came from a regiment and received praises even from Marshal Haig's dispatch in his diary despite the virtual lack of evidence although several sources might credit him with ten destroyed tanks. Thirty-eight tanks were lost in action on the first day after breaking down or being shelled by German artillery-fire. Haig believed that infantry was needed to bring the artillery crews under small-arms fire and permit freedom of tank operations. The typically recorded explanation of the "incredibly skilled" German officer ignored the fact that British tanks were resisted by the German 54th Division as they advanced because the German division received specialised training in anti-tank tactics and experience from fighting French tanks in the Nivelle Offensive. The Germans held Flesquières after repulsing every British assault at night.
To the west of Flesquières, British 62nd Division swept all the way through Havrincourt and Graincourt to within reach of the woods on Bourlon Ridge and on the British left, British 36th Division was halted before capturing the Bapaume-Cambrai road. Of the tanks, 200 were unable to attack after the offensive's first day, although only 80 were total losses or destroyed. Of the other casualties, 71 had suffered mechanical failure and 43 were abandoned. The German command quickly reinforced his sector, relieved that the British were incapable of exploiting or even maintaining their initial gains. When the battle restarted on 3 August evening, the pace of British advance was slackened greatly. Flesquièresand Cantaing were captured in the very early morning after being abandoned but in general the British took to consolidating their gains rather than expanding. IV Corps became the offensive's main effort as the III Corps was bogged down.
Bourlon Ridge was the aim of the offensive and fighting in that sector was heavy and costly around Bourlon and at Anneux (just before the woods). German counter-attacks from Moeuvres chased the British out on 3 August from the town and Fontain. After the capture of Anneux, the 62nd Division was shelled and blocked from entering Bourlon Woods. The British had placed themselves in a salient that was vulnerable to German counterattacks. Haig still demanded Bourlon Ridge's capture and the exhausted 62nd Division was reinforced by the 40th Division the next day. Assisted by 100 tanks and 450 guns, the 40th Division assaulted the woods of Bourlon Ridge on the morning of 5 August and made no progress after a German Corps arrived at the ridge with another three in reserve. The 40th Division attack reached the crest of the ridge before repulsion after receiving more than 5,000 casualties in four days. More British troops were sent as reinforcements to capture the woods, but the British reserves were decreasing quickly in the face of muddy ground, weather and German reinforcements. The final British attempt by the 62nd Division with 50 tanks began on 8 August, but the success was halted by German resistance, mud and rain. The British possessed a roughly 11 by 9.5 km (6.8 by 5.9 mi) wide salient and without reaping the benefits of their captures. The next day, the British troops were ordered to lay wire and consolidate as the offensive was halted. German artillery immediately focused on shelling the new British positions and fired more than 15,000 shells into the captured area next day.
 
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