Say we have a POD where Edd doesn't die of cancer back in May.
By your argument,
http://www.lottery.co.uk/results/lotto/past.asp these being the winning numbers in both timelines is impacted.
You can say 'Statistics!" - in long, detailed, thoughtful argument (which I appreciate)or just repeating the word with extra exclamation points until I throw a math book at you, but if there's a one in thirty six chance of something happening in OTL, WWE (World With Edd) gamblers are facing the same odds as I understand dice. Why are they facing different odds because OTL saw someone rolling a given set of numbers? Did the dice change? Did they change? Did the casino change? Did anything about the situation itself change?
What I'm saying clearly looks like "the odds will change." Ima go ahead and admit that despite not understanding it, because even if I don't think I'm writing that, if you're still reading that, it must be there on some level.
I'm not saying and have never said that the odds will be different. What I am saying and have said amounts to "the odds are long."
That's it.
They're very, very long.
If you roll a dice in two timelines, should you get the same result?
[Note I do
not ask "do the odds of a certain result change?"]
It depends. In identical situations, you should get the same result. Maybe "identical" has to go down to the level of the position of air molecules or further, but if it is truly identical, same result. In different situations, a die has a one in six chance of achieving the same result.
After-the-fact, though, odds are described differently. How likely is it that Washington was America's first president? That's easy - 100% likely.
It happened. The probability of OTL in OTL is 1. Duh.
On a micro scale you can apply this to dice as well, since our highest notions of history seem to boil down to details of games of chance.
You roll a six. Great. What's the chances you just rolled a six? The question is meaningless,
you did it. It
was one in six, now it
is one in one. What are the chances you'd roll a six in an alternate timeline where the September 11th attacks only succeeded in striking the Pentagon? Still one in six. So what are the odds that both timelines have the same dice roll have the same result? One in six.
That's pretty unlikely, when you come down to it.
Can you see where this line of thought comes from? The logic behind it, anyway? I can't say I expect to convert anyone, but I really hope this iteration has the clarity that you can understand my position.
That's why I don't get your point. It treats it as if a different timeline is in, in absent of a better word, competition against OTL,where OTL getting something impacts if WWE can get it - and claiming its because math doesn't make a lot more sense than claiming because the Great Turtle will use his divine powers to ensure WWE is unique.
I suppose that did come off as an Appeal to Authority, rather than as an olive branch, which is what intended. My bad.
But if you could just take the time and flagellation to let the Great Turtle ensconce itself in your liver....
And I can lose a lot of money betting that I'll get a different outcome anywhere I care to try it, too, because the odds of getting a 12 on two siz sided dice (instead of the 2 I got before) are 1/36.
It doesn't become 1/35 as if we were playing Russian roulette rock paper scissors style odds.
And I can't believe that was the best example I could think of.
Okay, now you lost me. What?
