Bush Presidency Without 9/11

I'm sure this thread popped up a few times, but rather than necro an older one, I'll just make a new one.

After seeing this video:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F9SOVzMV2bc&feature=share

I've become intrigued in the idea of a Bush presidency without 9/11. I've always thought that Bush had a good heart and just wanted to do what was best for his country, but due to the... Influence from less savory characters he ended up surrounding himself with, that obviously didn't happen.

So, let's say 9/11 doesn't happen. Preferably with the terrorists simply abandoning their plan, or perhaps the terrorists being whisked away in the middle of the night by men in black vans to places unknown. Basically, the idea is is that the plans for 9/11 never come to light to the public, and possibly not to Bush himself.

How does the Bush presidency go after this?
 
He's a one termer and we don't destroy our military in Afganistan and Iraq.

? Um... 'destroy' it? The two wars have hardly done that.

Bush's problems without 9/11 would have been mostly economic; the economy was slowly fading in general, the stock market was declining (IIRC), and the airlines were already having financial problems (9/11 just shot them down that much faster); there was nothing to stop the general malaise. I don't know if Bush would have had only one term, but he would have had a difficult time getting reelected...
 
He's a one termer and we don't destroy our military in Afganistan and Iraq.

He would win in a land slide in 2004

The economy bounced back from the dot.com burst, unemployment was low, the stock market was healthy, the housing market was increasing rapidly and he wasn't beset by much in the way of personal scandal otherwise. At that point his medicare drugs plan was hugely popular (instead of being seen as an unfunded fuck up) and no child left behind had wide bi partisan support (it wasn't proved to be a fuck up till later)... his tax cuts represented a national consensus since Gore favored ones that were almost as large anyway

Without the Iraq backdrop of fucked up military management (to the degree it was known then) the dems might not nominate Kerry (whose military experience gave many dems a vibe of a possible winner even though he was a total dudd) So who does that leave? Edwards, good lord that would go badly, the man was an implosion waiting to happen and an unrelenting scumbag; Dean? Dean was a flash in the pan, and also undisciplined, W would have crushed him 54-46 easy
 
The media reports about the Florida results might make Bush look less legitimate. Bush might seek to go to war in Iraq anyway (lest we forget, the Cheney Energy Task Force dealt with Iraq's oil resources among other things), and without 9/11 people might be a bit more skeptical (though there would be some Democrats who favored military action against Iraq, like Biden, or leaned towards it, like Kerry). Democrats definitely do better in 2002, with Daschle and Cleland likely remaining (And Cynthia McKinney too), and perhaps Florida Governor Janet Reno.
The US would go from surplus into deficit as OTL, in August 2001...
There might be a harsher stance against China after the EP-3 incident.
And by 2004, Enron would start falling apart...
 
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