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I freely admit to liking optimistic scenarios.
Assume that Butler is Lincoln's VP, possibly Andrew Johnson is embarssingly and publicly drunk before the convention.
I think Butler might well have gone for large scale expropriation and exile, as an alternative to treason prosecutions for those members of the planter class who assisted war against the United States.
I think that if land had been redistributed it would NOT have been possible to intimidate freedmen from voting.
Butler's other views seem to have been lefty/ populist.
As President he has a lot of influence in his party.
I think conservative republcians would be unhappy.
I think that without being able to win in the South plus some attraction to their working class support in the North Democrats would cease to be viable.
My guess is that sections leave the Republican party to reconstruct a whig movement