1976 Republican Party Presidential Primaries
The campaign for the Republican primaries showed a Reagan and Romney leadership over the other candidates. Romney focused on the states of the Northeast and Midwest. Reagan hoped to do well in the West and in much of the South.
Margaret Chase Smith led only in Maine and was in second or third place in the northeastern states. Louie Nunn led the Kentucky and appeared well in some southern states. Gerald Ford focused his campaign in the Midwest. Spiro Agnew focused his campaign in specific states, such as the initial states of Iowa and New Hampshire, and great prizes such as Illinois and Texas.
The first state to vote would be Iowa on January 19. Until then the campaign in the Republican primaries remained quiet. Research in Iowa showed mixed results, with Reagan, Romney, Agnew and Ford leading into at least one each.
All four main candidates spent the last few days before January 19 in Iowa campaigning. On election day the results were very close, and it took hours until the winner is declared: Spiro Agnew. Romney won second place, Ford in third and Reagan racked up a fourth place.
Republican National Poll: January 25, 1976
George W. Romney 26% (+1)
Ronald Reagan 24% (-2)
Spiro Agnew 20% (+5)
Gerald Ford 10% (+2)
Margaret Chase Smith 8% (-)
Louie B. Nunn 4% (-1)
The following week after Iowa polls began to show Agnew rising and approaching Reagan and Romney. Despite Agnew impulse, the next state to vote would be New Hampshire only after a month.
When the New Hampshire primary arrived, it was no surprise that Romney won with Reagan in second and Chase Smith in third. Romney repeated victories on 2 March, winning in Vermont and Massachussetts. Chase Smith won second place in Vermont.
On March 9 the Governor Reagan obtained his first victory, winning the state of Florida. On March 16 Romney won Illinois with Agnew second. The following week Agnew won in North Carolina with less than 1% advantage over Reagan.
Republican National Poll: March 25, 1976
George W. Romney 29% (+3)
Ronald Reagan 22% (-2)
Spiro Agnew 21% (+1)
Gerald Ford 13% (+3)
Margaret Chase Smith 9% (+1)
Louie B. Nunn 4% (-)
George W. Romney 29% (+3)
Ronald Reagan 22% (-2)
Spiro Agnew 21% (+1)
Gerald Ford 13% (+3)
Margaret Chase Smith 9% (+1)
Louie B. Nunn 4% (-)
On April 6 Gerald Ford got his first win in Wisconsin. On April 27 Romney won in Pennsylvania with Chase Smith in a close 2nd place. On 1st May the great state of Texas was going to vote, and to the surprise of many eventually gave a narrow victory to Agnew. Three days later Agnew won in Georgia, while Romney won in Indiana. Reagan's campaign began to worry about the lack of victories, especially the next states are unfavorable to it.
On May 11 Ford won in Nebraska and Agnew in West Virginia. On May 18 the states of Maryland and Michigan voted, with both easily given the victory to his governors.
Republican National Poll: May 15, 1976
George W. Romney 28% (-1)
Spiro Agnew 22% (+2)
Ronald Reagan 21% (-1)
Gerald Ford 15% (+2)
Margaret Chase Smith 7% (-2)
Louie B. Nunn 3% (-1)
George W. Romney 28% (-1)
Spiro Agnew 22% (+2)
Ronald Reagan 21% (-1)
Gerald Ford 15% (+2)
Margaret Chase Smith 7% (-2)
Louie B. Nunn 3% (-1)
After the release of research showing Agnew forward Reagan, the campaign of the Californian struggled to win some states on May 25, where 6 would vote. Desperation worked, Reagan won Idaho, Oregon and Nevada, with Nunn winning closely Kentucky and Agnew winning Tennessee and Arkansas.
On 1st June three states voted, and a candidate was the winner in each state. Romney won in Rhode Island, Reagan in Montana and Ford in South Dakota. The next day Gerald Ford suspended his campaign and endorsed George Romney.
On the last day of the election three states would decide the election course: California, Ohio and New Jersey. Romney was favored in Ohio and New Jersey, with Agnew appearing second only in New Jersey and Reagan the clear favorite in California. The expert predicted that everything would depend more the margin of victory really the winner.
In Ohio Romney won with 60% of the vote, in New Jersey with 40%. In California the result was disappointing for Reagan: a victory with 52% of votes. Although Romney is the favorite, Reagan still had chances to win in the Convention.
Speculation that Reagan and Agnew would join to beat Romney were soon cast aside, as the two together were a few delegates required. Rumors that Reagan would announce a VP in search of delegates proved false. On the day of the Convention, most other delegations voted for Romney.
Reagan endorsed candidate after his victory urging party unity. Much was discussed about the VP of Romney, with great appeal to Reagan (although this himself saying he would not accept). Rumors that Romney would choose Margaret Chase Smith also emerged. However the Governor of Michigan surprised by announcing Spiro Agnew.