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Some PoD after the Mexican-American war results in secessionism becoming much more popular. The Americans Civil War breaks out sometime in the early 1860s and all the border states join the Confederacy, which manages to secede with all its territory and take New Mexico and Oklahoma with it without any foreign intervention.

What effects does this have around the world? Does the AH cliche of Maximilian winning in Mexico if the Confederates win their war turn out true? Would Britain be blamed by the Union even if it didn’t intervene? (Assume something like the Trent Incident still happens.) Will the establishment of the Canadian Confederation proceed as OTL? Is the rump USA still able and willing to buy Alaska or go adventuring in Samoa and Hawaii as OTL? Also, what would happen in Washington D.C? It’s surrounded by Confederate states and would have been captured by the Confederacy, but would the Union stomach losing its capital? If so, what would be the new capital?
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