Breakaway states if Apartheid dies hard

I think the influence of the AWB is overstated. Even during apartheid they were pretty much considered a bunch of brandy-soaked rednecks (even by most other Afrikaners).

You mighr see Afrikaner militias arise, but they'll probably work more in concert with what is left of the SADF, rather than with the AWB.
IOTL I agree with you, but in an alternate scenario either they, or a similar group, would rise to fill the role of organizing the militias. Maybe the Broederbond creates some kind of armed wing if they choose to live or die with Apartheid. While the SADF is highly effective, which complicates any kind of breakup by itself, militias, specifically Afrikaner nationalist ones, will arise.
 
It all comes down from the perspective of the afrikaners and the various group, to who the SADF or large portions of the SADF support
 
You are right about the Bond, remember they had a slush fund named after General Dewett, to support the right sort of candidates, even chief Jonathan got funding at one time. Perhaps some sort of emmigeration fund, to the new volkstaat could be set up complete with armed protection.
 
What about an independent Western Cape? It's the only Coloured majority province of South Africa. Such a state could also include the Coloured majority areas of the Northern Cape.
 
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