Brazil English founded and the US Portuguese founded

In this TL, the English/British colonise Brazil and Brazil is thus English speaking while what in OTL becomes the United States of America is colonised by the Portugese and thus speaks Portugese. In this ATL, the Britidh colonies of Brazil become independent during the 1770s while the Portugese colonies up north gain independence after the Napoleonic wars. How would each country develop and be different today?
 
Obligatory post for a TL I supported when it was still active, and the author hadn't sadly decided to self-ban herself. That being said, in TTL the Portuguese colony was just the SE United States and part of the Midwest, not the whole thing.
 
In this TL, the English/British colonise Brazil and Brazil is thus English speaking while what in OTL becomes the United States of America is colonised by the Portugese and thus speaks Portugese. In this ATL, the Britidh colonies of Brazil become independent during the 1770s while the Portugese colonies up north gain independence after the Napoleonic wars. How would each country develop and be different today?

Probably more similar to OTL United States and Brazil than you might think, just with different cultures. My best guess would be that ATL Anglo-Brazil would probably resemble the US Deep South in a lot of ways, but larger, and ATL-Portuguese North America would have certain similarities with Argentina, but be more of a powerhouse.

Who owns Canada in this TL?
 
Probably more similar to OTL United States and Brazil than you might think, just with different cultures. My best guess would be that ATL Anglo-Brazil would probably resemble the US Deep South in a lot of ways, but larger, and ATL-Portuguese North America would have certain similarities with Argentina, but be more of a powerhouse.

Who owns Canada in this TL?

Say France and Portugal
 
there's way too much butterfly action going on to make any real predictions:

England is going to have a hell of a lot of gold to fund an earlier rise (won't have to wait til the industrial revolution, and/or the combo of the two makes it one hell of a financial superpower).
meanwhile, portugal won't have that gold to prop it up, nor does it have much of a manufacturing base to get much out a settler colony with few precious metals. This may actually make Portugal come to grips with reality and keep up with the times in order to survive.

but for arguments sake, forget all the butterflies and just hand wavium make a swap:

I doubt Portugal gets as belligerent as Britain did when contesting the Ohio Valley. Britain was itching for a fight. Here, Portugal is only going to act tough if Britain stands behind them like a big bodyguard (which they just might do as they hate France, and could use it as an excuse to go up against Spain and steal argentina). If you still keep OTL Portugal, you're likely to see them willingly accept status quo. So, New France remains all of Louisiana and Canada, and Portuguese north america is a bunch of colonies on the seaboard.
 
There would be so many butterflies, that I doubt there would be any Napoleonic Wars, or Napoleon for that matter.

First thing to consider is that the portions of Brazil colonised lay East of the Treaty of Tordesillas line. So perhaps have the Treaty line moved slightly eastward, this was done in 1529 with the Treaty of Zaragoza. I imagine Portuguese colonisation in this instance would begin around the present-day maritime Canada.

In 1521, King Manuel I of Portugal granted rights of lordship (much in the same way he did in Brazil) over what is now Newfoundland and Nova Scotia João Álvares Fagundes. The issue seems to be that they chose the incorrect spot to settle. However, to his credit Fagundes did attempt to build a permanent settlement, and it is due to him that later Europeans found abundant livestock in the region. Had he chosen a better locale than Sable Island, the colony could have grown, and history would obviously be different. Even if it had mostly been cod fisherman, one has to remember that the price of salted cod began rising in the early 1520s and by the 1540s was 2.5 times of what it had been in the early part of the century. By the 1550s, the price of cod once gain doubled before going back to its 1540s level. This alone would have brought some prosperity to any permanent settlement.

Therefore, Portuguese settlement that IOTL began in Brazil in 1531, is headed to North America. I imagine this settlement would extend southward along the Eastern seaboard. The early writings of the Portuguese authorities seem to have conceived demographic colonisation as a way to alleviate poverty at home, so I don't see this changing. What will change is that the Portuguese settlers will have much lower mortality rates. As a result, by 1580, there would be some 185,000 settlers in Portuguese North America.

Meanwhile in South America, if France still establishes a colony around present-day Rio de Janeiro in 1555, without it being destroyed by the Portuguese, it has a chance of hobbling along for the next century until the French are less distracted by wars in Europe. However, religious conflict, coupled with disease may reduce it to only to have only a few thousand settlers by 1650. France probably also begins colonisation of present-day Maranhão around 1617. The Portuguese sent thousands of settlers to this region during the 17th and 18th centuries, far more than the French ever did to French North America, and by 1750 most had died of disease, so I imagine the area being an extension of French Guiana.

If the English begin their colonisation of South America around 1585, around the sugarcane growing regions of Northeast Brazil they may ignore the West Indies completely. Hence all of the settlers who IOTL went to the West Indies and North America, end up in Brazil. By 1640 this means there are 90,000 or so whites in the colony, again there mortality rates are going to be much higher than in North America.

The Dutch can still attempt a colony somewhere in Brazil in hopes to obtain sugar, perhaps somewhere between French and English Brazil, and I imagine they'd eventually lose this territory to the English by the close of the century. French Brazil may even be gone by the close of the 17th century due to even fewer colonists than New France.

Meanwhile, Portuguese North America attracts some 120,000 settlers who would have been sent to Brazil during the 1580-1640 period. Many of these hail from Lisbon and the Atlantic Islands, often being prisoners or simply poor people. I imagine the tobacco growing regions being the most attractive, as there was a tobacco boom in Brazil during the 17th century, just before the gold boom. As a result, the population of Portuguese North America numbers some 1 million whites by 1640. This alone would be a huge butterfly, the Dutch and French colonies in North America would have no chance of succeeding and by the 17th century you have settlers moving past the Appalachians in search of better tobacco growing land.

In English Brazil there is a sugar and tobacco boom, attracting settlers who would have gone to the West Indies here. The British also export far more slaves form Africa, it seems that they preferred Senegambia slaves as they were more highly prized, so the British would be stronger in West Africa. Also, they would begin rice cultivation in Northern Brazil as the Portuguese did with slaves from Guinea, this area would be akin to the Carolinas. As a result of the economic boom, by 1700 the population of English Brazil numbers some 275,000 whites, and probably twice as many slaves.

Between 1700 and 1760, Portuguese North America attracts hundreds of thousands of settlers, perhaps 270,000, not as many as Brazil IOTL due to no gold rush, but keep in mind that may settled due to the availability of free land, and I imagine the crown would be encroaching on Spanish lands in Florida etc as they were in South America. As a result, Portuguese North America has some 3.5 million white settlers by 1760 with another 500,000 African slaves.

In Brazil, there is the gold rush, the only thing is this may actually hinder the British economy in the long run. The abundance of gold will give the British Crown the ability to spend lavishly and not rely on taxes, and they may scrap the protectionist tariffs allowing manufacturing to grow. This happened to the Spanish with the silver and gold from America IOTL and the Portuguese during the 1700-1750 period. With the gold rush, perhaps some 600,000 British and smaller number of German settlers arrive in Brazil, bringing the white population of Brazil to 750,000 by 1760, out of a total of 2.5 million.

By the 18th century, British Brazil is going to be encroaching on Spanish America, attempting to smuggle slaves into Peru via the Plate River. Also, they will want to trade with the Spanish colonies in return for silver. By the 18th century, I envision the Rio de La Plata being overrun by the British at some point. In this region you'll have more ranching and an economy resembling something for of IOTL Anglo-America. By 1820, this Anglo-America has a population of over 2 million whites, and some 4 million people of African descent, with perhaps 3/4 being slaves.

Economically speaking, English Brazil is a large plantation economy producing sugarcane, tobacco, rice, indigo, cotton and later coffee for the English market and importing large quantities of manufactured goods from the mother country. It's elites would be much more like the planters of cities like Charleston, preferring free-trade and fearful of slave revolts. The rupture with Britain may come over Britain's wanting to extinguish the slave trade, rather than over taxation. However, it could come earlier with the colonists wanting to control the gold revenue themselves. The English planter elite is going to be well educated and I imagine even the poor whites being literate, this alone will be different from IOTL Brazil.

Portuguese America by 1820 has some 12.5 million whites and perhaps fewer than 2 million people of African descent, the majority of whom are slaves. By contrast Portugal has a mere 3 million in inhabitants. This obviously is going to have massive butterflies. This Portuguese America will probably cover most of North America, but be much less educated than Anglo-America, with perhaps 5-10% of the population being literate. The elites will be a much smaller group, and economically and politically this territory would be much more dependent on Portugal than Brazil was, imagine a very large Azores. Culturally the settlers will be more similar to European Portuguese due to far fewer African slaves. The southern areas will be more like IOTL Brazil with tobacco, indigo and rice plantations and by the 19th century large cotton plantations. Like Brazil, you will see larger movement inland by settlers in search of land, and possibly encroachment into the sparsely populated areas of northern New Spain.
 
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