I was recently watch an old modern marvels episode and this question popped into my head: Back in 1995 a Nowegian science rocket was launched off the coast of Russia, and the Military had thought they were under attack. Boris Yeltsin was almost forced to push the button but fate intervined and stopped him. What would have happened if fate hadn't stopped him? What was the state of the world's nuclear arsenal at that time? Who would most likely get nuked? Finally what would survive?